Posts by user "Someone Somewhere" [Posts: 25 Total up-votes: 36 Page: 1 of 2]ΒΆ

Someone Somewhere
January 30, 2025, 06:24:00 GMT
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Post: 11816912
Originally Posted by WideScreen
Could it be this becomes another case that the regulatory defined airplane exterior (including landing light) lighting (especially for small RJ) is simply insufficient to let it stand out in the airport / city Xmas tree of lighting?

And the chopper crew simply had the next airplane in sequence of landing in sight and not the one they collided with?

RIP
This feels like an alarm fatigue/ever-brighter-light problem. If you make aircraft lights even brighter, you'll start asking questions about other safety lights in the area and going round and round in circles.

Visual management of traffic isn't really acceptable, especially at night against a backdrop.

Originally Posted by Del Prado
Why didn’t the control tower tell the helicopter what to do instead of asking if they saw the plane. This is a bad situation that looks like it should have been prevented,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform, adding: “NOT GOOD!!!”

Not helpful.
I really hate to say it, but I kind of have to agree. See above. This helicopter path may as well be a taxiway crossing an active runway, with the same levels of risk. Why are they allowed to loiter on the runway path; why are they allowed into the approach corridor with an aircraft on approach?

Can I argue this is the 'fatal runway incursion' everyone has been warning the US is going to have?

Last edited by Someone Somewhere; 30th January 2025 at 06:29 . Reason: Reply to 2nd post.

Subjects President Donald Trump

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Someone Somewhere
January 30, 2025, 07:27:00 GMT
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Post: 11816947
Originally Posted by WideScreen
Not sure how an approach like this one can be flown with an ILS, even a GPS based approach I have my doubts to be able to fly that precise, etc.
I was talking about visual separation; I should have been clearer.

I think, the better option would be to not rely on "bright lights" but suitably illuminated big surfaces, IE an airplane should illuminate its own surfaces. For this particular case, that might not have made a big difference, given the near head-on approach for a long time.

This accident was certainly "setup" in the procedures defined in this area, heavily relying on Humans not making (altitude (settings)) mistakes and Humans detection opportunities, for which we all know, the human is not really that well-designed for from scratch.

For this case, the helicopter corridor was designed to be below the approach path, though when the human makes even a small mistake and/or the weather makes the approach path a bit lower, things can go haywire quite easily.
Might have helped the CRJ see the helicopter (except a military helicopter probably won't be illuminated anyway). But if the helicopter crew has CRJ landing lights pointing at them, are they going to see anything? It seems like another poor-quality band-aid on top of the fundamental problem of trusting see-and-avoid and voice comms.

RVSM is 1000ft at higher altitudes; even if things had gone 100% to plan, this would have only provided, what, <300ft vertical separation? Is wake turbulence a threat to helicopters?



Subjects CRJ  Separation (ALL)  Vertical Separation  Visual Separation

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Someone Somewhere
January 30, 2025, 08:19:00 GMT
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Post: 11816986
Originally Posted by fdr
The video shows the lights of the helicopter quite clearly, approaching the CRJ from about 2 o'clock to the CRJ.
From this angle, yes. With ground clutter and looking at the helicopter from the other side...

Subjects CRJ

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Someone Somewhere
February 04, 2025, 07:49:00 GMT
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Post: 11821166
Arguably all a low-energy state does is imply that TCAS needs to give RAs from further out. That of course further reduces throughput, unless you come up with additional ways to reduce false positives.

The end result of all of this, perhaps the better part of a century down the track, is probably going to be closer to positive train control and atlantic tracks: these are the blocks of airspace and time that are reserved for your aircraft, plus a buffer in each direction including time. Conflicting movements cannot be authorised (though unlike rail, you can have clearances that forbid you stopping, and therefore give a plane 'advance clearance' through a section of space that the plane(s) in front haven't yet transited, as long as the times each aircraft is allowed to be in that space are non-overlapping). At any time, an aircraft would expect to have forward clearances for 2-3 routes - normal path, plus pre-clearances for some combination of missed approach, engine failure drift-down, emergency descent, ETOPS divert, perhaps a even pre-authorised radio failure track. As you clear each section or a future clearance becomes unnecessary, you release it behind you but collect new clearances for alternate routes.

That's a long way away given even CPDLC is in fairly limited use.

Originally Posted by Qbix
Total nonsense. Go around is a normal phase of the flight. Landing is just a bonus.
No threat in execution of TCAS climb in such conditions.
I'm sure there's a few cases of stalls during go-around, terrain avoidance, or TCAS activation. There's never such a thing as 'no threat'. I do agree that it's pretty minimal, though, and the Airbus procedure of 'pull the stick full back and pray' simplifies/de-risks it even further.

Last edited by Someone Somewhere; 4th February 2025 at 08:09 .

Subjects TCAS (All)  TCAS RA

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Someone Somewhere
February 04, 2025, 10:52:00 GMT
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Post: 11821295
Originally Posted by 21600HRS
There is a problem in the system if you don’t react to CA. The visual avoidance should be aborted when the technically calculated separation is lost.
The issue here, I believe, is that there's different standards for visual separation vs radar separation. A separation that results in a CA from the radar may still be entirely legal and acceptable. It's like trying to work out if two cars at an intersection will crash into each other from their GPS trackers: the data just isn't good enough and you don't know if one car will actually stop at the stop sign at the last second.

Radar orders also need to be given and actions taken sooner than if the crews are doing it of their own initiative. So a radar CA needs to be visible say 15 second pre-collision so ATC can wait for the radio to be clear then order pilots to manoeuvre. Pilots can aim to cross visually at more like 5 seconds.

I'm not saying that this is overall a good idea, but the fundamental reason you fit more planes in with visual separation is that you can put them closer together with (given good visibility) not too dissimilar safety.

[Edit: too late... Fullwings got this.]

Originally Posted by 21600HRS
]4) TCAS RAs on approach? you mean below 1000 ft ? No , in our scenario here , with the Blackhawk climbing , the logical RA would be a descent RA for the CRJ ,, you want a Descent RA at 300 ft ?
I think there is no problem for RA below 1000ft, it would only be like ”TRAFFIC AHEAD, PULL UP” in Airbus World. Horizontal separation might be smaller and system takes into account whether the traffic is between you and touch down. This DCA case is problematic because you join the final below 500ft, that is not acceptable in any case with an airliner.

TCAS 8 is getting closer and sooner after this horrific accident.
One aircraft gets a PULL UP, the other gets a NO CLIMB. Ideally you would have each aircraft advertise how much altitude it can gain/lose in 5/10/15 seconds and make the decision based on that. It would also fix needing to turn to TA only after engine failure.

Subjects ATC  Blackhawk (H-60)  CRJ  DCA  Radar  Separation (ALL)  TCAS (All)  TCAS RA  Visual Separation

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Someone Somewhere
February 06, 2025, 03:55:00 GMT
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Post: 11822721
Nothing says 'normalisation of deviation' like 'please stop reporting near misses; we don't have time to investigate them'.

I wouldn't be surprised if the same applied to helos flying above the 200' ceiling, but that's more of an incidental factor. It would still have been unacceptably close had they been at the correct altitude, and could have been a collision if the CRJ was a little low on approach.

Subjects CRJ  Close Calls

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 12:05:00 GMT
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Post: 11823605
Originally Posted by 51bravo
Thanks for the picture. So three possible light blobs very close together AA5307 (short of landing), AA5342 (the CRJ), AA3130 (which was picked by PAl25 as conflict)

Regarding to the Pavlovian - if PAL25 wouldnt have requested 'visual separation', what "punishment" would they expect from the Tower? Orbit(s)? Vectors? Or somethin wild, considering 200/300' altitude limits along the river and buildings/infrastructure left and right (what diameter would an orbit cost with a Blackhawk, is it feasible over black water at 200')? Therefore I am asking - would a non-request of a 'visual separation' mean major complications to such a helicopter at night? That as well would then be a significant flaw in the design.
I believe visual separation from other aircraft is a very different scenario to visual separation from ground obstacles (VFR).

Waiting for the tower to have no aircraft below ~700ft in the approach area, if we're assuming a 1.5Nm separation, could be quite a while.

Subjects AA5342  Blackhawk (H-60)  CRJ  Separation (ALL)  VFR  Visual Separation

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 14:59:00 GMT
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Post: 11823702
Originally Posted by DIBO
so that we are all on the same page:
Originally Posted by moosepileit
Only to Rwy 33, not Rwy 1. Yuge differenxe.
1.5Nm is longer than Rwy 1. Any traffic on the runways basically knocks out helicopters within a circle more or less encompassing Memorial Bridge, Capitol St Bridge, the sewage treatment plant, and Route 5. The approach paths to the two runways are pretty close together compared to a 1.5Nm separation.

Anything approaching Rwy 1 should be below ~700ft anywhere north of the sewage treatment marker; use the Wilson Bridge for a bit of headroom because not all aircraft are going to be perfectly on glideslope.

The river is far narrower than 1.5Nm so clearly a southbound helicopter on Route 4 can never cross a northbound aircraft approaching runway 1 north of the Wilson Bridge.

You'd have to hold a southbound helicopter north of either the Memorial or Capitol St Bridges until previous traffic had landed. Then have a sufficiently large gap with no arrivals (or departures until south of the runways) for the helicopter to reach the Wilson St Bridge before the next arrival crosses that bridge.

That's the preceding aircraft covering ~3Nm at 140kt (~80s), followed by the helicopter covering ~6Nm at ~100kt (another 3.5min), and accurately timing the next arrival so it doesn't cross the Wilson bridge until after the helicopter, or it needs to do a go-around.

Subjects Route 4  Route 5  Separation (ALL)

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 17:07:00 GMT
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Post: 11823784
Originally Posted by moosepileit
Hence the issue requiring metering the helicopters on the numbered Routes.

I don't suggest a hard 1.5NM, but anywhere standard fixed wing ops cannot assure 500' vertical separation, Rotary wing traffic must be gated and controlled.

If rotary wing mission dictates, then fixed wing traffic will have to wait/go missed/discontinue approach. Visual Sep, ATC and a Pavlovian environment killed an airliner.
Yeah, 1.5Nm is a pretty broad flat rule but I could see an argument for tighter separation particularly where the aircraft is established on an ILS and the helicopter has a fixed obvious route. I don't think holding the helicopter at Hains Point while an aircraft does a visual approach to 33 is sensible, but it might be reasonable for an ILS into 1.

I'm still going to argue that a helicopter on Route 4 from DCA to the Wilson Bridge or across Route 6 is unacceptable while there's an approaching aircraft below 700ft.

Subjects ATC  DCA  Route 4  Separation (ALL)  Vertical Separation

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 17:49:00 GMT
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Post: 11823812
Two way helicopter traffic, not (I believe) helicopter vs fixed-wing. Big difference.

Subjects: None

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 18:15:00 GMT
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Post: 11823828
Originally Posted by JohnDixson
But, S-S, if the two flying machines we are discussing were under radar control, the accident would not have occurred.
Radar can absolutely fly two planes directly into each other. You have to put a number on how far apart they should be. If you call it "controller's judgement" then all you've done is change who's responsible, given that aircraft are never going to stick exactly to their assigned altitude and heading, and neither radar nor ADS-B gives exactly accurate positions, speeds, or headings.

This page, section "Separation minima based on ATS surveillance systems" quotes ICAO as saying that even in terminal space with good radar, separation should not go below 1,000ft vertically or 3Nm (2.5Nm if established on the same final approach in sequence within 10Nm of the runway). We're already blithely discussing half those standards as being impossible to meet.


Subjects ADSB (All)  ICAO  Radar  Separation (ALL)

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 18:43:00 GMT
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Post: 11823850
I'm honestly not certain, but if you're not visually separated , that seems to be the conclusion reached upthread and from the link I posted.

Subjects: None

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 21:37:00 GMT
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Post: 11823944
Originally Posted by West Coast
The guiding document in the US is the controller handbook, FAA order 7110.65AA. There, it is clear that visual separation is an approved form of separation in Class B airspace. Not defending the application of it specific to this crash, just pointing it out so the discussion revolves around existing FAA separation standards and not what folks in the thread wish it to be, believe it to be or what it is in their country.
Yes. My point is that if visual is deemed not acceptable, the next step appears to be several Nm. If you are telling the controller to keep them clear, they can't be just missed ; they need to actually be properly radar separated.

This is following on from #960-964, discussing what would happen if the PAT flight(s) refused visual separation. It seems like it would throw a spanner in ATC's arrivals and they would probably get a response similar to that Lufthansa A380: Buzz off somewhere else.

Subjects ATC  FAA  Radar  Separation (ALL)  Visual Separation

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Someone Somewhere
February 07, 2025, 21:48:00 GMT
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Post: 11823958
I'd still question running Rwy 1 approaches while there's route 4 traffic. Landing plane gets a little down and right of glideslope and bang.

Subjects Route 4

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Someone Somewhere
February 08, 2025, 05:59:00 GMT
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Post: 11824111
It also shows that the Wilson, Memorial, and Capitol St bridges are compulsory holding points.

Subjects: None

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Someone Somewhere
February 08, 2025, 07:14:00 GMT
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Post: 11824135
Originally Posted by Lead Balloon
I don't read the chart legend as having that denotation. The words on the legend for a solid triangle are, with my bolding: Compulsory Reporting or Holding Point.
Yes, you're correct; I didn't read carefully enough.

If you approach/reach the point and ATC doesn't clear you further, are you then automatically required to hold there?

Subjects ATC

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Someone Somewhere
February 11, 2025, 09:56:00 GMT
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Post: 11825962
This kind of smells like a "gentleman's agreement" to me, if not implied threats of retaliation.

Speculation : The helicopter crews know that if they don't report traffic in sight as soon as it's called, they'll be slowed down and deprioritised by ATC and eventually held back until they either do report the traffic, or there's a substantial gap in arrivals - see the LH A380. That makes them unpopular with their passengers and/or superiors, so they are very flexible with what 'in sight' means.

ATC likewise knows that if they push helicopter crews too hard on altitude busts, report anything involving a helicopter, or hold up either kind of traffic, they might get people breathing down their neck and certainly nothing good comes of it.

Calling traffic immediately and not enforcing separation too strictly allows both parties to 'get on with their jobs' while looking more-or-less by-the-book - until an incident like this happens.

I'm hopeful I'm wrong, but given there seems to be a long history of near misses and altitude busts this seems like the obvious conclusion. No-one high-up wanted to hear about it or change anything , because no-one had died yet.



On a slightly different note, I'm curious whether anyone is familiar with the Hierarchy of Controls by NIOSH? It doesn't map 1:1 to aviation, but it codifies some things that are 'obvious' in hindsight:


Broadly speaking, some controls are more effective than others. Wherever possible, you should attempt to use more effective controls in place of less effective ones. More effective means not just that it reduces the risk the most, but also the most reliable over time and most resistant to having rules bent, being left broken, being ignored due to alarm fatigue, or 'normalisation of deviation'. Procedures that assume everything is working perfectly and everyone is 100% competent will fail; see MCAS and a great number of other accidents.

Elimination is rarely possible but substitution (radar vs visual) and isolation (separate helicopters from other traffic) amongst other engineering controls are potentially more feasible, and much higher up the hierarchy than a glorified instruction not to crash (the very bottom of administrative). Engineering a problem out of existence is far superior to having a procedure to fix it in the QRH.

I list things like TCAS, GPWS, RSAs, and crash-proof seating as broadly being under PPE: they're nice to have and certainly worth pursuing, but unless there is no other alternative, they should never be your primary protection. Something has gone wrong if they get used.


Subjects ATC  Close Calls  Radar  Separation (ALL)  TCAS (All)  Traffic in Sight

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Someone Somewhere
February 15, 2025, 10:07:00 GMT
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Post: 11828476
One could also argue that a CRJ overflying a helicopter by 50-100 ft is going to throw a pretty bad wake turbulence into the helicopter, and the helicopter losing control and crashing seems pretty likely. Save the CRJ, sure.

Subjects CRJ

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Someone Somewhere
February 17, 2025, 06:24:00 GMT
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Post: 11829650
Originally Posted by airplanecrazy
Spoiler
 


DCA Helicopter Routes

Given these chart differences, I wonder how far a helicopter can stray from the various depictions of a route before it is considered a pilot deviation? Perhaps the NTSB will give us some insight with their accident report.
Originally Posted by Wide Mouth Frog
So this just cracks me up. He's in the middle of the river where the route says it's up the East bank, and that's OK because the routes are not defined with no procedural separation from landing traffic. He's instructed to pass behind the CRJ, but that would involve him either holding short or deviating over the city at 200ft at night, but instead he chooses to plow right on. The helicopter is out of his standard altitude, and the jet is way above the glideslope, and ATC encourages them to sort it out themselves. And the helicopter crew are wearing NVGs. What could possibly go wrong.
The diagram shows the route up the east ~half of the river, solidly over water. The inset seems to show it within perhaps the east quarter, but still 100% over water. Asking crews to follow the riverbank therefore seems to be a direct contradiction.

You could reasonably define the bank as the water's edge, and therefore expect crews to fly along an infinitesimally narrow path. Or as the space between the water's edge and the [edge of the flood plain | first flat area | something else], which would imply that the western boundary changes with the water level. Both imply the route is substantially above land.

Neither are useful for precise navigation, but the map and the description are probably 'close enough' if they are only needed for general route guidance and knowing that structures on the east bank need to be NOTAMed for helicopters, but probably not the west bank.

A good reminder that measurements/specifications without tolerance are often worse than useless.

Originally Posted by galaxy flyer
KDCA 01 visual to 33 (note: not circle, 121 carriers are not circling authorized in the US)
If it quacks like a duck... this kind of "It can't be an X because we can't do it, so we'll call it a Y" leads to a culture that gets used to massaging the truth for convenience. Did we hear more on the Alaska door plug that was an 'opening' not a 'removal'?

Subjects ATC  CRJ  DCA  FAA  KDCA  NTSB  Night Vision Goggles (NVG)  Pass Behind  Pass Behind (All)  Separation (ALL)

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Someone Somewhere
March 06, 2025, 08:54:00 GMT
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Post: 11841781
Originally Posted by 51bravo
If they would get the "pass behind", they would have waited for some illuminated object to pass from left to right before crossing that runway extension line. But they happily entered the final approach 33 sector as if they didnt expect any landing traffic at all on 33. In fact they decided to cross BEFORE, since "their traffic" seemed to be still very early in the circling procedure and in visual contact 3-4 miles on the nose.
Assuming they correctly received/understood that the object they were to pass behind was landing runway 33 , not runway 1. That seems to be in some doubt.

Because without that information, they could IMHO quite happily look at the A319 approaching runway 1, intend to pass behind it to head south down-river until the A319 was no longer over the river, and loiter around the runway 33 approach until that happens.


Shift the times by ten seconds and the same accident could have still occurred.

Visual simply doesn't work at the required level of safety if there are multiple aircraft to be visual with.

Subjects Pass Behind  Pass Behind (All)

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