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| fdr
February 02, 2025, 17:30:00 GMT permalink Post: 11819947 |
But I don't think this is a scenario that suffers from a lack of data. Near misses and incursions are frequent enough that they are well characterized. Nor is it that difficult to project risk from repetitive danger. The risk, in this case, and in many other cases, is known and has been accepted.
That there is adequate data of American airlines running into military helicopters in the terminal area? We have one data point. That is an exception event. The near misses, there is more data, but apparently not enough to get anyone's attention before a bad day out occurred (whether DEI dependent or not) The intent of a safety system is to tend towards improved safety. To do so, it needs data to make rational assessments, and we have a system today that is based on responses to exceptions, and often responses to exceptions that arose due to responses to other exceptions, etc. We have a stack of bandaids that are our rules and regs, and they act as soporifics, great if you are suffering from insomnia. As a system, it sucks.
Spoiler
Subjects
ATC
Close Calls
DEI
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| fdr
February 02, 2025, 17:33:00 GMT permalink Post: 11819950 |
It could have instructed the CRJ to climb (meaning initiate go-around immediately) and the heli to ‘not climb’ (meaning descend if practicable). Or it could have instructed heli to climb and CRJ to not climb (meaning continue descent or level and look out). I am saying that tech is there in principle and the 500ft RA floor was decided on 20-30y ago, probably to limit complexity and risk of dangerous RAs, but that this limitation could be revisited in future, especially with lots more data and modelling capability to assess.
TCAS RA have inhibits at low altitude, or do you have some other system in mind? Subjects
CRJ
TCAS (All)
TCAS RA
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| fdr
February 02, 2025, 19:25:00 GMT permalink Post: 11820027 |
The current version of TCAS II is at least a decade old and, so far as I can tell from a cursory reading of the literature available online, does not incorporate ADS-B to the extent now possible. Given the massive improvements in processing technology since the current version of TCAS was finalized, it seems entirely possible that the issues cited here could be resolved with the proper engineering, as could many others (such as the 2024 Haneda crash). Retrofitting fleets (and requiring military aircraft to participate) would be a huge political problem, but there don't appear to be any showstoppers technically.
Nuisance go-arounds caused by RAs don't seem like a high price to pay to avoid this kind of catastrophic event. And perhaps nuisance go-arounds might cause some re-considerations of poor airspace design, such as this appears to be. Going from TCAS II Change 7.0 to 7.1/7.1a was a simple matter of handing over enough cash to buy a couple of Porsches, for the new computer to effect a simple software change. What is irritating is the change was not an enhancement of the system it had all the hallmarks of incorporating the standard for TCAS at the time. An iPad with Foreflight or Garmin pilot an ADSB-in input is frankly more value when operating in the weeds, While we are at it, it is remarkable that Garmin Pilot and Foreflight provide better obstacle alerting than the certified EGPWS system does. Subjects
ADSB (All)
ADSB In
TCAS (All)
TCAS RA
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| fdr
February 02, 2025, 20:28:00 GMT permalink Post: 11820083 |
The CRJ700 was likely approaching Runway 33 at a heading of approximately 330 degrees, meaning it was moving northwest. The UH-60 Black Hawk may have been traveling at a heading roughly 240 to 270 degrees (west or southwest), which would place it on a near-perpendicular course relative to the plane.
If the aircraft were at a close to 90-degree intersection, then the CRJ700 would have been moving across the field of vision right in front of the helicopter, thus making the collision all the more perplexing, not withstanding night vision goggles (if indeed worn) interfere with depth perception and can reduce field of view to as low as 40\xb0. Of course there also remains the reported disparity in flying height, with the UH-60 100 feet above it's flight ceiling Subjects
Blackhawk (H-60)
CRJ
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| fdr
February 02, 2025, 21:47:00 GMT permalink Post: 11820135 |
Subjects
CRJ
TCAS (All)
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| fdr
February 05, 2025, 03:48:00 GMT permalink Post: 11821881 |
Blancolirio says at his latest update that the helicopter should have been told to hold before crossing the approach patch of 33. My post saying the same was deleted. I dont know why our very senior pilot is adamant that an army crew in a combat ready chopper cannot stop. Me, just a lowly private R22 driver, had to perfom quick stops on my examination flight for the PL(H) licence and we were trained to avoid and/or get out of a possibly ensuing vortex ring state. If I could do it in this wobbly contraption of Robinsons, anybody else can, because I am not Top Gun.
We used this quite often when parachute jumpers crossed our approach path to the homebase (from above of course
). We could have done a 360 , but then we would have lost sight of our vertical traffic and a quick stop is more fun.
I my country we widely use a wonderful device called FLARM. It is sort of a pour man's TCAS, using a similar protocol as ADS-B but on a free to use frequency. Shows traffic of other live FLARMS and warns if a Mode-S transponders is approaching (using field strength) . It has another optional feature: a database of low strung cables, power lines and other obstructions our country is infested with. Guess what we had to do in a heli when this alarm went of? Indeed, a quick stop and then a good lookout for cables!
And Top Gun wouldn’t try and do it either, because getting rid of the energy in an R22 at 70 KIAS is an entirely different prospect to getting rid of the energy in a Blackhawk at 140 KIAS.
like they say in the industry: “you don’t know what you don’t know” Trying to quick stop at night as a means of collision avoidance is just dumb anyway. And fwiw: if you understand VRS training as necessary to recover from mismanaged quick stops, then you need more training. During a quick stop, your instructor was correct to prepare you for what follows rapidly thereafter with respect to your heading and your need to be ready for some footwork, and to be aware of the torque demand that follows where the wake influences your aircraft. This isn't however vortex ring state, nor is it settling with power, it is a transient related to your wake. The R-22 has adequate but not fantastic tail rotor authority, the UH-60 has an excellent tail rotor befitting a damned fine tactical/combat helicopter. You can get through a complete aviation career in helicopters without opening up any books beyond your training manuals. Helicopters also bite back hard if you.step out of line, so my suggestion is that you may frame Torquetalk's comment: “you don’t know what you don’t know” , and enjoy reading about your machines physics.
Spoiler
Subjects
ADSB (All)
Blackhawk (H-60)
TCAS (All)
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| fdr
February 05, 2025, 14:00:00 GMT permalink Post: 11822235 |
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| fdr
February 06, 2025, 01:45:00 GMT permalink Post: 11822684 |
Long answer? No. Short Answer? "__" The NW wind results in their CAS being lower if maintaining a desired ground speed, and as LW50 and John Dixson would attest to, the crew would be aiming at generally maintaining speed above ETL, to improve ride and economy, noise, pretty much everything. Civil helos will normally specify a minimum IFR speed to keep tracking tasks of the pilot to a manageable level. The crew in this case are night, VFR, but without SAS or ALTHOLD, helos are a bit more demanding than fixed wing. Flying these helos down in the weeds is why Pilots like Lonewolf and John D got paid the big money and have such extravagant retirement life as of course their Government respects their service that much.
Subjects
IFR
VFR
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| fdr
February 07, 2025, 04:52:00 GMT permalink Post: 11823390 |
I've not read the entire chain of thoughts and comments, so please excuse me if my thinking has already been brought out:
Seems to me that the collision altitude is reasonably well established. Further, seems to me that the helicopter was reporting 200 feet via the IFF (transponder), probably from the AAU-32 Baro altimeter instrument in the cockpit. I now understand that the H-60 had an ADS-B capable black box upgrade in place of the original basic IFF (APX-100?), and that the extended (ADS-) squitter message was turned off on the subject flight. I think it is worth a close review of the static line plumbing to the AAU-32 which is the source of the 29.92 altitude report. If, for example, the static line became disconnected, then cockpit ambient pressure might influence (bias) the AAU-32's reading. I'd check the records to see if a pitot-static leak set had been performed in the recent past, and I'd inspect the remnants of cockpit plumbing if practical Second... I'd check the upgraded ADS-B capable IFF/Transponder to see if it used aircraft static altitude sensed values as it reported "altitude" , and not (ever) use any other value such as altitude above geoid. Long-shot thoughts, but perhaps worth considering. There is graphic evidence that the fuselage of the 60 went under the nose of the CRJ700, and they hit is probably established beyond reasonable doubt on this forum, if not in the evidence of the wreckage in the Potomac. The flight path of the CRJ is well established, up until the moment that the aircraft struck. That should itself have put to bed the matter of height in the analysis. It is highly probable that the 60 was on altitude on their instruments, and the causal factor being misidentification of a visual target beyond 5nm at night, landing on RWY01, while the CRJ is not pointing at the helicopter, it is presenting the red navlight on the port wingtip to the helicopter drivers, along with occasional strobes against a night sky. The vector of the CRJ across the visual sector of the helo crews was a slow translation to the right, and then from off around 10 o'clock the CRJ intersects the RWY33 finals and becomes a stationary target well off the main scan of the helicopter crew. When asked to confirm they are passing behind the CRJ traffic, they have the RWY01 traffic off to their right, and they are reasonably expecting that to be their traffic. If they don't have a breadcrumb trace of the traffic on their ND of tac display, while the outcome is unfortunate, I would argue that misidentification of a target in a condition where misidentification is a high probability is not the primary causal factor, it is a consequence of the practice of mixing crossing LL traffic with landing and TO traffic. My concerns are not future risk from this condition occurring, failure to place spak filler over the cracks in this practice would be naughty. My concern is the system scapegoating a US Army flight crew doing a task that is arguably unreasonable. The fact that some may consider it just normal practice done badly does not answer the fact that physiological limitations and the kinetics of this situation make a mid air a near certainty, the obvious evidence being they did hit, the day before there was a near-miss/loss of separation. It is time for command to assume responsibilities that go with their post, and not blame those beneath them that travel in harms way on the implicit faith that command is competent and cares for the crews safety, and the national resource that they represent. To do otherwise is conduct unbecoming. The CRJ crew were having a normal day, until they were killed. The passengers on board could also reasonably expect that our industry cares enough to actually do what we say we are doing, and to MANAGE SAFETY , if that is not too much to ask for. Managing safety does not equate to box ticking, it is the very fact we have devolved into considering safety in a stochastic system to be assured by compliance that we get to this sorry saga. Last edited by fdr; 7th February 2025 at 20:23 . Subjects
ADSB (All)
CRJ
Separation (ALL)
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| fdr
February 07, 2025, 15:40:00 GMT permalink Post: 11823717 |
On the cobntrary, it is vanishingly unlikely that the 60 crew even glanced at their baro alt. They were flying HEIGHT - that is AGL, on radalt and radalt alone. No helo
ever
flies at that sort of height by reference, even fleetingly, to bar-alt. That instrument is totally redundant in such a case (except for mode C reporting)
OTOH, the CRJ is not flying a BARO ALT, it is descending on a visual glide slope that would approximate something near 3 degree, 5.2%, from whatever aiming point they had chosen, +/- the vertical error from that ideal glide slope. They stuck each other with the UH60 striking from below. John D and LW50 can suggest the static system error that is in the -1 for the UH60L, I don't have the FM for that type. The static pressure ports are on the 2 pitot static heads that are above the cockpit area, just behind the rear edge on the pilots doors. For the UH60A,
​​​​​​
​the static sources for the two systems are interconnected and provide static pressure to both pilot's airspeed indicators, altimeters and, vertical velocity indicators. In addition to standard cockpit instrumentation, ram and static pressures are converted into electronic airspeed signals by an airspeed transducer and an air data transducer to be utilized by the Automatic Flight Control System (AFCS) and Command Instrument System
(CIS) USAAEFA PROJECT NO. 77-17 AIRWORTHINESS CHARACTERISTICS UH-60A (BLACK AND FLIGHT EVALUATION HAWK) HELICOPTER SEPTEMBER 1981 FINAL REPORT
...so for the A model, the drivers get raw static for their ALT displays. Later models with EFIS systems would take the same data and process that from analog to digital, and that would normally be done by an ADC system, which can remove the errors that arise from direct static sources with some rat cunning. For our jets, the ADC data does not correct all static errors, that is why we generally see a negative transient of altitude and VS rate at rotate, the flow conditions around the static ports are changing. The helicopter has the static ports in the wake of the rotor, which alters with CT, and with J so pretty much is a mess for getting nice n' tidy accurate pressure altitude displayed. The RADALT is better, it is subject to errors as well due to attitude changes but they are generally tolerable by the choice of the fan shape of the transmitter. Bottom line is, assuming that the aircraft should have missed by a hair vertically given the wide range of errors that would apply to the helicopter instruments is immaterial to the fact that they were otherwise going to be in a grossly unacceptable vertical separation in any circumstance. That they arrived at the same place in space and time is a consequence of a very straight forward error of identification of a single target when confronted with multiple targets, which we have known to be an issue for about a century. Hard to blame the PF in getting caught out doing a practice that is known to be hazardous but which is institutionally tolerated as "business as usual". Last edited by fdr; 7th February 2025 at 15:55 . Subjects
CRJ
Separation (ALL)
Vertical Separation
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| fdr
February 08, 2025, 08:39:00 GMT permalink Post: 11824169 |
Subjects
ATC
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