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| Blackfriar
June 12, 2025, 18:34:00 GMT permalink Post: 11899522 |
I think that fallacy was dispelled when the supposedly uncrashable airbus went into the trees on a demo flight.
On 26 June 1988, Air France Flight 296Q , the first passenger flight of the Airbus A320, flown by a Airbus A320-111 registered as F-GFKC, crashed into trees during a demonstration flight at Mulhouse-Habsheim Airport , France. Three passengers out of 136 on board died during the evacuation as the aircraft began to burn. This was the first fatal crash of the Airbus A320 family. Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| Ornis
June 12, 2025, 18:52:00 GMT permalink Post: 11899540 |
I think that fallacy was dispelled when the supposedly uncrashable airbus went into the trees on a demo flight.
On 26 June 1988, Air France Flight 296Q , the first passenger flight of the Airbus A320, flown by a Airbus A320-111 registered as F-GFKC, crashed into trees during a demonstration flight at Mulhouse-Habsheim Airport , France. Three passengers out of 136 on board died during the evacuation as the aircraft began to burn. This was the first fatal crash of the Airbus A320 family. Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| FuelFlow
June 13, 2025, 11:55:00 GMT permalink Post: 11900343 |
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_...ays_Flight_228
This happened in 1968, retracting the flaps and the wrong speed. CFIT! Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| nachtmusak
June 14, 2025, 04:00:00 GMT permalink Post: 11901099 |
Fascinating - I can't fathom the sheer sangfroid necessary to keep a 747 at near MTOW just barely airborne and under control for 5+ minutes (which was how long it took before they resolved the thrust issue). Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| framer
June 14, 2025, 04:35:00 GMT permalink Post: 11901109 |
Ex petroleum lab technician and tank farm sampler here.
Jetstar Boeing 787-8 VH-VKJ General Electric GEnx-1B Engine Biocide Serious Incident near KansaiOn 29 March 2019 the No 1 General Electric GEnx-1B engine of Jetstar Airways Boeing 787-8 VH-VKJ , flying from Cairns , Australia to Osaka Kansai Internationa l, Japan, fell below idle during the descent at an altitude of about 16,000 ft for 8 seconds. The No 2 engine then fell below idle too for 81 seconds. The aircraft safely landed at Kansai International less than 30 minutes later.Subjects
Dual Engine Failure
Engine Failure (All)
Fuel (All)
The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| OldnGrounded
June 15, 2025, 20:07:00 GMT permalink Post: 11902731 |
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LATAM_Airlines_Flight_800 Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| 13 others
June 17, 2025, 15:24:00 GMT permalink Post: 11904344 |
This is one of the reasons for the valid
theoretical
points about probabilities not necessarily being valid as a matter of practicality. It's entirely reasonable to argue that, for example, the probabilities of a weight on wheels sensor failing at the same time as a throttle position sensor are vanishingly remote. But try predicting what will happen if a cup of coffee is spilt over a control console, or a piece of loose swarf in a connector shorts unrelated system wires or...
The scenarios are nearly infinite and it is impossible to predict the consequences of all of them. You did stipulate that more causality factors can be calculated using Baysian means, but so what? Back to LB's first point: calculating all of them is not practical. While the general public (i.e. The Simpsons) can be impressed with statements like "A billion flight hours without a mishap" what matters is the precise combination of factors that caused the earlier mishap, and how similar current circumstances are to that mishap. Viewed with such insight, mishaps are almost ordinarily common (aviation example being 178 seconds to live for a VFR pilot going VMC into IMC). Subjects
Weight on Wheels
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| Capn Bloggs
June 18, 2025, 02:20:00 GMT permalink Post: 11904820 |
Originally Posted by
Lookeft
My point being the T/L should always have the PFs hand on them so that they know what the T/Ls are doing.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TAROM_Flight_371 To my way of thinking, if you are in the habit of having your hand on the TLs, you're more likely to push them up when needed. Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| Sailvi767
June 18, 2025, 03:49:00 GMT permalink Post: 11904851 |
Yes, while there were other complications in play, this accident was caused by a single- throttle rollback after takeoff that wasn't detected by the crew:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TAROM_Flight_371 To my way of thinking, if you are in the habit of having your hand on the TLs, you're more likely to push them up when needed. Subjects
V1
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| F-flyer
June 18, 2025, 11:01:00 GMT permalink Post: 11905088 |
Air India flight 171 now has its own Wikipedia site:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_India_Flight_171
The 'Article' section contains to date nothing that hasn't already been covered in this thread. The 'Talk' section contains a 'general discussion of the article's subject' and is full of similar speculation as has been discussed in parts 1 and 2 of this thread. Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| Magplug
June 18, 2025, 16:54:00 GMT permalink Post: 11905352 |
I'd like to stick my neck out and say what I think I know. And I do mean "know", not what I think "likely" or "possible".
1. The aircraft reached an altitude AGL rather more than one wingspan. This can be clearly seen in the still from the CCTV video posted by Cape Bloggs on 2025-06-18 at 0401. The 787-8 wingspan is 197+ ft. So it got at least 200 feet up in the air. (Info from CCTV screen shot.) 2. (a) Ground effect on lift essentially disappears on TO when the wheels are at screen height. (Info from an eminent colleague who performed the analysis.) I believe it follows that (b) he didn't get up to 200 ft by performing a zoom climb on unstick. It further follows that (c) there must have been some initially adequate lift out of GE to establish for a few seconds positive RoC. 3. The FR24 graphic posted by Musician shows that the aircraft became initially airborne "as usual", compared with other TO profiles. (Info from FR24.) 4. The aircraft lacked adequate thrust even to maintain altitude shortly after unstick. 5. Flaps 5 is minimal for TO. If you don't set it, you are told very clearly that you are misconfigured, well before TO roll. (Info from others.) 6. At Flaps 5 and likely loading (fuel, PAX, token sum for baggage) and in the atmospheric conditions pertaining, there is more than enough nominal thrust available to establish positive RoC. That obviously also holds for Flaps-more-than-5. (Info from others.) I am not au fait with audio spectral analysis so, unlike some others here, including some whose views and experience I value highly, I am agnostic at this point about the RAT. (This is neither to deprecate those who performed this analysis, nor the views of those who know more about practical spectral analysis than I do and are convinced by it.) Now for my personal inference so far from this. Items 2 and 3 above suggest to me that the aircraft was adequately configured to conduct a normal TO and initially establish positive RoC for a second or two. For me, the big question is: why wasn't there adequate thrust to maintain that? (We've been talking about those possibilities for some days now - I won't attempt to summarise.) PBL But you ask..... How can an aircraft possibly get airborne with a stalled wing? Look at Air France 7775 . At rotate the wing was already stalled (albeit for different reasons) but the airborne profile of the aircraft was rather similar to Air India. Subjects
CCTV
FlightRadar24
RAT (All)
TOGA
V2
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| Sailvi767
June 19, 2025, 12:08:00 GMT permalink Post: 11905928 |
I have to agree with you
PBL
. It is amazing that people are still arguing about the height the aircraft reached during the first 11s of the flight. It is almost measurable to the metre from the aircraft wingspan on the video. Do not mistake the power required to reach Vr within in the TORA with the power required to maintain a stable climb at V2 to V2+10 in the second and third segments. They are very different numbers, that's why Perf A is one of the dark arts of aviation! It is quite probable that this aircraft rotated below a suitable Vr speed for the weight and ambient conditions and was unable to establish a stable climb due lack of applied power. Big engines take time to spool up, your immediate future depends on how late you recognise the situation and go for TOGA.
But you ask..... How can an aircraft possibly get airborne with a stalled wing? Look at Air France 7775 . At rotate the wing was already stalled (albeit for different reasons) but the airborne profile of the aircraft was rather similar to Air India. Subjects
TOGA
V2
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| Tu.114
June 19, 2025, 19:49:00 GMT permalink Post: 11906264 |
There were simultaneous engine failures, but those were due to massive birdstrikes (
US1549
) or due to epidemic engine failures on Il-62s of various versions (like
LOT 007
or
LOT 5055
).
Fuel related total engine failures like Aeroflot 366 or Air Transat 236 at least had the decency to have the engines starve one after another as the fuel in the individual tanks depleted. But all those are probably highly irrelevant when considering the Air India accident. An engine disintegration or a heavy birdstrike would have been visible on the videos, a sizeable bird would have left some remains. And gradual fuel starvation would have shown some yaw. As much as I despise the thought, the issue that got AI171 must have come from within the aircraft, although this most decidedly does not infer any wrongdoing by any crewmember. Subjects
AI171
Fuel (All)
Fuel Cutoff
The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| sSquares
June 19, 2025, 20:05:00 GMT permalink Post: 11906278 |
There were simultaneous engine failures, but those were due to massive birdstrikes (
US1549
) or due to epidemic engine failures on Il-62s of various versions (like
LOT 007
or
LOT 5055
).
Fuel related total engine failures like Aeroflot 366 or Air Transat 236 at least had the decency to have the engines starve one after another as the fuel in the individual tanks depleted. But all those are probably highly irrelevant when considering the Air India accident. An engine disintegration or a heavy birdstrike would have been visible on the videos, a sizeable bird would have left some remains. And gradual fuel starvation would have shown some yaw. As much as I despise the thought, the issue that got AI171 must have come from within the aircraft, although this most decidedly does not infer any wrongdoing by any crewmember.
Not saying it happened here! Subjects
AI171
Engine Failure (All)
Fuel (All)
Fuel Cutoff
The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| Icarus2001
June 21, 2025, 02:45:00 GMT permalink Post: 11907438 |
Originally Posted by
FrequentSLF
SLF here, With what might be a stupid question, however let me ask. Why the ground logic does not incorporate the wheel up command? Because many normal functions require knowing airborne or on the ground. The most obvious being gear retraction and in-flight braking of the spinning wheels, but there’s dozens of actions dependent on WOW. Because there are some times that the gear is left down after take-off for operational reasons. An automatic retraction is not desirable because the PF needs to know there is a positive rate of climb before calling for gear up, lest the beast settle back on to runway. Have a look at Emirates in Dubai… https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emirates_Flight_521 This was a go round accident but the positive rate principle is the same. Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| Magplug
July 09, 2025, 17:17:00 GMT permalink Post: 11918490 |
Originally Posted by
za9ra22
With all due respect, do you have any idea how a large scale investigation of this kind actually works, because it would appear not so much.
Not only are there agencies and personnel from outside governmental influence directly involved in the investigation, and playing an active as well as observational role, which makes it almost impossible to hide or obscure critical pieces of information or data, but other than a frenzy of any-nonsense-goes in the name of hits, clicks and ad revenue, the media play no role whatsoever in any part of the investigation. The team itself will operate largely within a bubble, and team members don't talk to media or politicians - however much the media or politicians still need to flap their jaws because to both classes, silence is anathema. Furthermore, everyone who does this kind of work is a professional, well aware that any unofficial commentary is capable of severely compromising the investigation and other members of the team. Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| za9ra22
July 09, 2025, 17:26:00 GMT permalink Post: 11918498 |
There speaks an idealist who has never worked outside the western world! I speak only from the perspective of an aviator of 40-odd years experience during which time we have seen too many accident enquiries, but I admire your optimism. There is an enormous amount at stake here, national pride as well as huge corporate cost will ensue if this crash is demonstrated to be the result of a crime. The enquiry into the crash of
Germanwings Flight 9525
was put into the hands of the judiciary within hours of the primary cause becoming evident. I wonder if that will happen here?
Not only have I not been called an idealist at any point within the last 50 years or so, but you wiped out about 20 years of work outside the western world, all within one sentence. I don't have anything to add in response that I haven't already posted, but I do appreciate your response! Subjects: None The thread is closed so there are no user likes are available and no reply is possible. |
| Lonewolf_50
July 16, 2025, 13:47:00 GMT permalink Post: 11923713 |
I'll offer a guess as to why...later.
I'm completly certain that it can when the locking mechanism is not properly installed.
In such a case, the moving part of the lever could even stand on a "needle point position", meaning it's neither in the on or off position. Smallest movement of the aircraft or a hand can move the lever to on or off.
I also observed many pilots in my career holding their hand at the backstop of the thrust levers on the pedestal as PM. Comes from a certain mistrust to the other pilot (mostly captains do that). If this hand falls down by a gust or a bump on the runway, his hand falls down on the pedestal. Exact location of the cut-off switches. If the locking mechanism isn't installed, you don't even feel that you moved it. Has anyone demonstrated to you something like "watch this, Dani: if I pull the switch up and get it to hang on the little lock/cam, the engine will still start" ... in the sim or in the aircraft. I'd be interested to read of your experiences with that switch and that non-standard positioning of it that you describe. Beyond that, did you bother to look at the position of the fuel control switches that were in the preliminary report? They were found in the RUN position. See page ten of the preliminary report. Neither of them was cocked off, as in the picture of a misaligned switch from a 737 that you referred to.
You mean just because it never has happened, it's impossible? What a strange argument.
If you look closely at the picture in post no 262 Preliminary Air India crash report published I see a perfect example of a wrongly installed locking mechanism.
How on earth do you think this argument is unthinkable, when there are even safety bulletins and mandatory maintenance orders about this very problem?
I'm on neighter side. That's why facts are more important for me than for many others.
You have established no basis for why you believe that the switches on this 787 were incorrectly installed, given that
As to post deletions: as with some of mine being deleted, we both seem to get involved in the running rodent machine despite any intentions to avoid it. For DaveReidUK Your post is, at best, disingenuous. (But thank you for posting an excerpt from the bulletin The error was found on a 737, and the competent authority issued that alert having recognized that similar switches might have similar problems - they used the word potentia l - not because switches on all of those other models had been found to have that problem. From your subsequent post:
..to be replaced if found defective,
Given that this is the year 2025, (and the maintenance actions mentioned in the preliminary report) 1spotter's point on the "red herring" is a bit stronger than you allow. Please go back and read page 6 of the prelim report, top half. Something else to think upon: how many 737s does Air India operate?
As of June 2025, Air India operates a fleet of 190 aircraft, both narrowbody and widebody aircraft with a fleet composed of
Airbus A319
,
A320
,
A320neo
,
A321
,
A321neo
,
A350
as well as the
Boeing 777
and
Boeing 787
.
For the moment I don't think that it does, however, it might. The investigators have a variety of other rocks to turn over and see what crawls out from under them. They may find evidence of various maintenance issues that have an impact on this accident. As of today, though, such information has not been released (but I will offer you a guess that all of that is in the process of being collected and analyzed, even now, as a part of their investigation). Full disclosure: I don't fly Boeings, I do not work for Boeing, I have no shares in Boeing stock, and I am still slightly pissed at Boeing for the MCAS screw up on the 737-MAX. Last edited by Lonewolf_50; 16th July 2025 at 14:12 . Subjects
Fuel (All)
Fuel Cutoff
Fuel Cutoff Switches
Preliminary Report
RUN/CUTOFF
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| Asturias56
December 06, 2025, 08:30:00 GMT permalink Post: 12001229 |
Korwa
is a
town
in
the
Indian
state
of
Uttar Pradesh
. It is home to
HAL
's Avionics Division that has produced
DARIN
upgrade for the
SEPECAT Jaguar
and supplied similar electronic systems for
MiG-27
aircraft. Ordnance Factory Project Korwa of the
Ordnance Factories Board
which manufactures products for the
Indian Armed Forces
is also located here.
Seems a logical place to look at the black box - and I can't see why you'd be worried about the risk of terrorism there TBH. Subjects: None 1 recorded likes for this post.Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
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