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Speedbird744
2025-06-12T16:18:00 permalink Post: 11899430 |
Of course the RAT will deploy if all three hydraulic systems have low pressure even with both engines running. This is the case on the 77/78. |
barrymung
2025-06-12T16:22:00 permalink Post: 11899436 |
Conceivably, it could be a double engine failure but that's very unlikely. |
barrymung
2025-06-12T16:25:00 permalink Post: 11899439 |
The chances of a double engine failure on take off are like a billion to one, and I think are certified to a million to one occurrence.
As you say they still provide power and pressure even if not running 1 user liked this post. |
barrymung
2025-06-12T16:29:00 permalink Post: 11899441 |
Ok, so...
Some have said the RAT appears to have been deployed. This would suggest a hydraulic/electrical failure on the plane. A hydraulic/electrical failure could well make it impossible to retract the gear immediately. But, what do flaps do in the event of a major hydraulic/electrical failure? Is there a default that they revert back to? I was under the impression the RAT can't power the flaps? We can, I think, rule out engine failure, at least single engine failure because the rudder is still straight on in the Video. You can also hear the engines.. |
arewenotmen
2025-06-12T16:45:00 permalink Post: 11899457 |
​​​​​ But failure is often not independent. Hit a flock of birds with both engines, run out of good fuel, etc etc - then the probability is primarily that of the root event. ​​​​ Edit: I make no comment on whether they were running or not in this case, only the statistics 7 users liked this post. |
bobdxb
2025-06-12T17:23:00 permalink Post: 11899506 |
2 users liked this post. |
golfyankeesierra
2025-06-12T17:46:00 permalink Post: 11899534 |
• both engines have failed • all three hydraulic system pressures are low • loss of all electrical power to captain’s and first officer’s flight instruments • loss of all four EMPs and faults in the flight control system occur on approach • loss of all four EMPs and an engine fails on takeoff or landing (EMP = electric motor pump, hydraulic) FYI the RAT is an emergency source for electrical and/or hydraulic power. Last edited by golfyankeesierra; 12th Jun 2025 at 17:57 . |
JanetFlight
2025-06-12T17:50:00 permalink Post: 11899536 |
Regarding that possibility some members here are posting a scenario where RAT are deployed, could this be possible (im no 787 driver at all)?
1) Near the moment of Rotation or a few seconds after it, an Engine failure occurred. (Bird, Fod, Mx, Tech, etc) 2) By destiny irony as in Kegworth or Taipei aviators cut the good one by mistake. 3) No running engines, RAT comes alive... May all RIP, such a sad day for us all... |
tinshifter
2025-06-12T18:03:00 permalink Post: 11899551 |
I think it may be a simple case of inaccurate takeoff performance data, or inadvertent retraction of flaps instead of gear (this can happen and does happen).
I'm no expert and open to discussion, but it looks to me like the slats are somewhat extended but the flaps weren't, or at least not from the angles we have seen so far. The autogap system on the B787 will automatically extend the slats if they are already in the middle position (i.e Flaps 1) with KIAS <225. Perhaps, either the inaccurate input for takeoff performance produced figures that allowed a Flaps 1 departure, leading to a longer takeoff roll and then once out of ground effect, insufficient climb gradient and a pilot induced stall. Alternatively, at the point where you would likely ask for gear up, the PM has inadvertently selected Flaps 1 from Flaps 5 leading to the same effect. Pilots experienced startle and shock, declared a Mayday as they knew they were descending when they shouldn't be and didn't have time to appropriately react. Dual engine failure is obviously a possibilty however rare it might be. but it doesn't look like any catastrophic failure from the video. Clearly a sad day for all in aviation and looking forward to the official investigation and results, hopefully something we can all learn from. 6 users liked this post. |
ahmetdouas
2025-06-12T18:09:00 permalink Post: 11899555 |
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TURIN
2025-06-12T18:22:00 permalink Post: 11899571 |
Each engine has two identical Variable Frequency Starter Motor Generators. They are a combined starter motor and generator. More in this ancient thread here- 787 electrical system - variable frequency generators? 4 users liked this post. |
ahmetdouas
2025-06-12T18:44:00 permalink Post: 11899592 |
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oxenos
2025-06-12T19:03:00 permalink Post: 11899609 |
Don't know the TODA, TORA set up there but don't forget aircraft performance is to hit a 35 foot screen height and the use of reduced thrust means it will be at the very, very end of the runway - it's what's done almost every take-off of a jet to preserve engine performance
2 users liked this post. |
Two's in
2025-06-12T19:20:00 permalink Post: 11899637 |
The chances of hitting a flock of migratory birds on take off near a tidal estuary are considerably less than a billion to one.
1 user liked this post. |
YRP
2025-06-12T19:25:00 permalink Post: 11899642 |
In that video there's a large puff of dust as they become airborne... from that I'd assume they were very close to the end of the runway if not slightly past it. It looks like they barely had enough speed to get airborne, and what little speed they did have didn't take them very far. The big question is why they barely climbed... performance issue, engine failure, birdstrike? No idea.
2 users liked this post. |
lefthanddownabit
2025-06-12T19:29:00 permalink Post: 11899647 |
nothing was normal the plane rotated right at the end of the runway far too late and barely climbed at all for 10 seconds before falling 20 seconds and finally crashing 30 seconds after take off.
The most obvious answer is low power/flaps setting if the engines were weird they would have probably aborted take off. Bird strike/engine issue during take off roll after v1? Super unlikely but never say never If the flaps weren't set then the aircraft would have accelerated on the runway faster, not slower. But I don't think the flaps were set wrong, or retracted early. The flaps appear extended in the video and the post crash photo. Why do you think a bird strike after V1 is unlikely? If you fly into a flock of birds a double engine failure is no less likely then a single failure. My initial thought watching the first video this lunchtime was power loss in both engines, probably bird strikes. I still think that. If both engines failed then all four of those things would happen very soon afterwards. 1 user liked this post. |
Scruffle
2025-06-12T20:07:00 permalink Post: 11899686 |
Both videos evidence a normal rotation and climb followed swiftly by an abrupt cessation of the climb. No sign of yaw. But an apparent catastrophic loss of thrust. To me this points to dual engine failure. Statistically the most likely cause would be bird strike. The flap/gear configurations are probably not causative.
1 user liked this post. |
AndrewW
2025-06-12T20:23:00 permalink Post: 11899693 |
The theories concerning inadvertent flap retraction are not consistent with the apparent transcript from the mayday call made or rat deployment. In the first video that circulated, the engines can\x92t really be heard (certainly not producing any significant amount of thrust). If the aircraft was climbing out misconfigured, those engines would be screaming. Instead, all you can hear is the rat.
Similarly - a bird strike, knocking out two engines simultaneously is a noisy/messy event and I would expect to see evidence of this occurring in both videos, and in the area at the point of ingestion. The engines don\x92t just roll back with a bird strike - they surge, smoke, bang and splutter. It would be very apparent. At this time, I think everything is pointing towards both engines simultaneously having their fuel feeds interrupted between V1 and Vr. CVR/FDR will be interesting. 7 users liked this post. |
THRILLSEEKER
2025-06-12T20:38:00 permalink Post: 11899708 |
I hate to say it but it looks to me like a dual engine failure or both engine master switches set to off after take-off.
Both situations are harrowing 😣 RIP and thoughts to all the families 1 user liked this post. |
FL370 Officeboy
2025-06-12T20:42:00 permalink Post: 11899714 |
The theories concerning inadvertent flap retraction are not consistent with the apparent transcript from the mayday call made or rat deployment. In the first video that circulated, the engines can\x92t really be heard (certainly not producing any significant amount of thrust). If the aircraft was climbing out misconfigured, those engines would be screaming. Instead, all you can hear is the rat.
Similarly - a bird strike, knocking out two engines simultaneously is a noisy/messy event and I would expect to see evidence of this occurring in both videos, and in the area at the point of ingestion. The engines don\x92t just roll back with a bird strike - they surge, smoke, bang and splutter. It would be very apparent. At this time, I think everything is pointing towards both engines simultaneously having their fuel feeds interrupted between V1 and Vr. CVR/FDR will be interesting. The fact none of the above happened, coupled with the lack of landing gear coming up, makes me think they didn\x92t have thrust to play with. 2 users liked this post. |
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