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nolimitholdem
July 17, 2025, 17:02:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924523 |
Air India finds \x91no issues\x92 with fuel switches on other Boeings after crash
Air India finds \x91no issues\x92 with fuel switches on other Boeings after crash (The Guardian)
"WHAT A SURPRISE!!", said no one, ever.* *​​​​​ ​​(Except a few PPRune experts.) |
jimtx
July 17, 2025, 17:06:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924525 |
Not sure why you would think the paragraph in the preliminary report was a red herring - it's a statement of historical context directly relating to the fuel control switches which the investigation had found in the FDR record as having 'transitioned' to OFF before 'transitioning' ack to ON.
To not detail the background would have been to omit a clearly pertinent fact which would have left others questioning the authority of the report for not covering it. The report itself then clearly states: "At this stage of investigation, there are no recommended actions to B787-8 and/or GE GEnx-1B engine operators and manufacturers." to ensure it is known that no defects were found at the time of the report being issued. I suspect it is written as it is because at this point, there is no evidence the investigation can provide as to how the switches 'transitioned', let alone why. They have the switches. |
za9ra22
July 17, 2025, 17:26:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924530 |
They are telling you that the crash aircraft had no reported issues with the fuel control switches (since 2023, which was I think when the unit was replaced), and subsequently also confirmed that there were no defects to report. I would say it suggests they have concerns relating to the accident which are not yet fully investigated, so don't want to include a factual statement which may not be fact. It is a preliminary report after all. It's job is lay out the sequence of material facts. |
DaveReidUK
July 17, 2025, 17:30:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924532 |
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JustusW
July 17, 2025, 17:30:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924533 |
And (correct me if I'm wrong) I believe you've dismissed the notion of hiding the suicide and making it appear to be an accident, murder, someone elses fault, etc. I think that notion might be more common than you would think (after all if they are successful you wouldn't know...) and probably reflects a significantly different sort of mental issue. A depressed narcissist? IDK.
Suicide is often impulsive. A sudden, unplanned leap from a balcony, bridge or precipice is a single motion with almost guaranteed terminal result. Unfortunately an airplane in the hands of a depressed or mentally unstable pilot can also be a single, impulsive motion away from instant, painless death. As demonstrated, a couple of flicked switches and a very short wait.
Unlike previous pilot suicides that took deliberation and often aggressive action, this appears to be a passive event that could have been conceived and executed in the same impulsive instant. Followed almost immediately by regret, denial and even a futile attempt at reversal. This is a plausible scenario, but also one that would be impossible to determine causally. Try for yourself, but you can use either rationalization for the behavior and even use the same rationalization for the opposite behavior. There is no way to predict how anyone would react in that situation and no way to determine either way what that behavior indicates. Not even moving those switches back into the on position by himself would give a reliable clue as to his state of mind. The report would probably default to Human Error in this case, as the intent could not be determined. The resulting suggestions, ironically, would be basically the same as well. Ease access to mental healthcare, improve training for avoidance, and most importantly: Improve resilience of systems against this type of action. Based on the numbers available to us right now I can almost guarantee that if you have taken more than 10 flights in your life one or both of your pilots or colleagues on the other seat suffered from symptoms of moderate to severe depression. And you will with almost absolute certainty never actually know. The true question people need to ask themselves is "Do I want my depressed pilot to have access to psychotherapy or not?" |
EDML
July 17, 2025, 17:46:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924539 |
An interesting quotation from this: "She highlighted a similar incident during which one of the engines suddenly shut down midflight on an All Nippon Airways Boeing 787 during its final approach to Osaka, Japan, in 2019.
Investigators later found that the aircraft’s software had mistakenly interpreted the plane as being on the ground, triggering the thrust control malfunction accommodation system, which automatically moved the fuel switch from “run” to “cutoff” without any action from the pilots." Is it also interesting that this incident occurred at the time of ground-to-air transition? The TCMA shuts down one or more engines - but it doesn't move the switches to cut-off in any magical way. TCMA directly operates the fuel valves - but the switches stay on. Of course there is no entry for the switches being operated on the EAFR when TCMA shuts down an engine! |
MedicAn
July 17, 2025, 17:56:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924544 |
The study of suicidality is interesting, when it comes up against the examination of an event like this (whether murder/suicide is a possible explanation, why it might or might not be). Non-medical people will often focus on something that's a red herring because it seems strange in the context of a potential suicide, but in terms of the "natural history" of suicide, it might be a pretty common thing. I've been inv with suicide investigation as part of my work, and in some ways it's as frustrating to try to inform laypeople about what norms exist in that field as I imagine it must be for the professional pilots to have dilettantes like me opine on throttles and CRM. |
1stspotter
July 17, 2025, 18:26:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924560 |
Totally wrong.
The TCMA shuts down one or more engines - but it doesn't move the switches to cut-off in any magical way. TCMA directly operates the fuel valves - but the switches stay on. Of course there is no entry for the switches being operated on the EAFR when TCMA shuts down an engine! |
nrunning24
July 17, 2025, 18:52:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924570 |
Musician:
The lack of technical rigour and curiosity in this thread is disappointing. Long diatribes about switches, as if they were the only thing in the chain that could have cut off the fuel. Rumours and News, fine, but would expect a higher level of hard analysis here, especially considering the limited information presented in the initial report. It may indeed be that the tragedy was intentional, but there is no hard evidence to show that at this stage. While there are pointers suggesting that in the report, that is how if has been written, intentionally. Here, the crew are blameless until proven at fault, beyond reasonable doubt. Call that naive if you will, but science is about gathering and following the evidence, not jumping to conclusions. |
Sailvi767
July 17, 2025, 19:39:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924609 |
Totally wrong.
The TCMA shuts down one or more engines - but it doesn't move the switches to cut-off in any magical way. TCMA directly operates the fuel valves - but the switches stay on. Of course there is no entry for the switches being operated on the EAFR when TCMA shuts down an engine! |
za9ra22
July 17, 2025, 19:47:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924614 |
Secondly, even outside the question of legal definitions and legal liability, I've become increasingly concerned with the use of some terminology which doesn't just ascribe motives, but goes far enough to personally accuse a dead professional of many years standing, on the basis of no factual evidence so much as a wish to point the finger. It's also rather ironic to participate in a Professional Pilot forum where non-pilots are criticised for their lack of knowledge and experience, then witness (presumed and apparent) professional pilots discussing human psychology and behavioural science as if they've been studying it all their lives. I hope the mods can work out a framework by which this can be discussed without infringing on human decency and professionalism, but I can't see much sign without it that pprune would be a suitable place to further discuss the issues involved. The ad hoc editing done so far really isn't enough, despite the tough job they're doing. |
ignorantAndroid
July 17, 2025, 20:08:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924625 |
Eng1_TCMA_Shutdown_Local_EEC_A Eng1_TCMA_Shutdown_Local_EEC_B Eng2_TCMA_Shutdown_Local_EEC_A Eng2_TCMA_Shutdown_Local_EEC_B |
OldnGrounded
July 17, 2025, 21:33:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924681 |
Originally Posted by
za9ra22:
I suspect it is written as it is because at this point, there is no evidence the investigation can provide as to how the switches 'transitioned', let alone why.
"the available body of facts or information indicating whether a belief or proposition is true or valid."
These threads are dominated by posters who are either certain they know how the fuel control switches were "transitioned" by human hands (and increasingly why) and by others who continue to explore and posit possible mechanical or system failures (although those posts seem to be fewer than they were). And then there are a few of us who continue to point out that we simply don't have sufficient evidence to know or decide what actually happened. I think there would be more of us with that view if more of us were more careful in considering what actually is evidence in this case and, if something is evidence, what it may be evidence of. Last edited by OldnGrounded; 17th July 2025 at 21:36 . Reason: Typo |
tdracer
July 17, 2025, 21:52:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924692 |
It really baffles me how the French prosecutor was able to come out
just
two days
after the Germanwings 9525 crash
and lay out the likely cause in remarkable detail \x97 even identifying it as an apparent suicide by the co‑pilot. Yet here we are with the Air India 171 crash: it took the AAIB an entire month to release a so‑called \x93preliminary\x94 report, and even then it\x92s vague, incomplete and raises more questions than it answers.
To me, this is unacceptable. If the French could piece things together and be honest about it in 48 hours, the AAIB should have been able to do better than this. Ok, so they put in the preliminary report that the captain intentionally turned both fuel switches to CUTOFF, causing the crash. The Captain and his family is vilified, criminal investigations are launched. Vengeful relatives of those killed in the crash attack - perhaps even kill - members of the captain's family. Then it turns out that it's NOT what happened... The captain's reputation and his family have already been destroyed - irreparable damage has been done, and no amount of retractions and apologies for the mistake are going to correct that. Is it really too much to ask that we allow the investigation team to verify and validate their information before we throw someone to the wolves? |
GroundedSpanner
July 17, 2025, 23:02:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924737 |
"There has been no defect reported pertaining to the fuel control switch since 2023 on VT-ANB." - This will have been verified by the investigation team fairly rapidly. Verified reportable fact, included in the preliminary report. Yes in the final report they would be in a position to make a statement like that. But in the preliminary - No. |
jimtx
July 17, 2025, 23:53:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924765 |
Because the preliminary report can only contain verified factual information.
"There has been no defect reported pertaining to the fuel control switch since 2023 on VT-ANB." - This will have been verified by the investigation team fairly rapidly. Verified reportable fact, included in the preliminary report. This could not have been done by the team in the time available. Bear in mind that the EAFR was not read until almost 2 weeks after the crash. Before that point there would have been little focus on the fuel switches, which were recovered in the run position (verifiable and reported). Once attention was directed to the switches, a small team will form just to forensically examine those switches. They will likely take WEEKS to even begin the detailed examination of the switches. Those switches have been through a crash and a fire. They dare not move them until every possible non-destructive examination technique has been used. What do you test first? just pulling the sleeve will move something. Moving the lever will move the contacts. Did fingerprints survive the fire?. You would want to x-ray them, measure wear on the locking, look at contact position. Electrically test the terminals. Does it need to be opened? They would get examples from the manufacturer and destructively test them. Yes in the final report they would be in a position to make a statement like that. But in the preliminary - No. |
appruser
July 18, 2025, 00:25:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924773 |
So I've looked again and I think that basically the ADS-B data is 5 seconds out.
So in the diagram (can't modify right now but I will), the blue bar starts at 5 and ends at 13, max altitude marker at 8. That would tie in with loss of power. It would put, interestingly, engine cutoffs right at the earliest opportunity within the window available with sampling etc. (Incidentally an apology to Musician who I incorrectly told earlier that such a movement would be inconsistent with max altitude record, I can see clearly now this isn't the case!). I think for various reasons the ADSB data's absolute values are offset by some amount, for possibly all of the parameters. But there should be consistency in the deltas for the timestamp (by receiving station), the raw baro altitude, the Flightradar24 AGL values, and the airspeed. Flightradar24 themselves note that for altitude " ... the data is not above ground level, but it is consistent to itself." 08:08:46.55 ... 575ft ... 21ft ... 184kt 08:08:48.14 ... 600ft ... 46ft ... 179kt 08:08:48.61 ... 600ft ... 46ft ... 177kt 08:08:49.01 ... 600ft ... 46ft ... 177kt 08:08:49.46 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 177kt 08:08:49.92 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 174kt 08:08:50.39 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 174kt 08:08:50.87 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 172kt From the Preliminary Report's airport cctv picture, the RAT was seen deployed at, by my estimate here , 150ft baro altitude, between 4-7 seconds after rotation. So the ADSB readings have to be prior to that. What's interesting is that the ADSB data covers: - 4-5 seconds of time (let's approximate 4 seconds from 46.55 to 50.55, ignoring the 0.32s for the moment) - 50ft of altitude gain - Declining airspeed from the 1st reading to the last in this final segment from the runway. Big questions in my mind: 1. If the loss of ADSB corresponds to the E1/E2Fuel Cutoff switches being moved from RUN -> CUTOFF, why is the airspeed declining for the prior 4 seconds? 2. In 4 seconds, why is there only 50ft of altitude gain? that seems odd. 3. To account for only 50ft of alt gain, if we assume the 1st reading is on the runway just before rotation, the intermediate +25ft alt gain is at rotation (Nose up but MLG still on the runway), and the last 4 readings are in the air (nose up an additional 25ft), that means that 1 second or less after lift-off, ADSB was lost - this is before E1/E2 FCO RUN-> CUTOFF. It's just weird . Last edited by appruser; 18th July 2025 at 00:41 . Reason: added a comma for clarity |
Sailvi767
July 18, 2025, 01:32:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924794 |
Apologies for the delay in responding to your posts. I see that you and others have stepped in, thanks.
I think for various reasons the ADSB data's absolute values are offset by some amount, for possibly all of the parameters. But there should be consistency in the deltas for the timestamp (by receiving station), the raw baro altitude, the Flightradar24 AGL values, and the airspeed. Flightradar24 themselves note that for altitude " ... the data is not above ground level, but it is consistent to itself." 08:08:46.55 ... 575ft ... 21ft ... 184kt 08:08:48.14 ... 600ft ... 46ft ... 179kt 08:08:48.61 ... 600ft ... 46ft ... 177kt 08:08:49.01 ... 600ft ... 46ft ... 177kt 08:08:49.46 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 177kt 08:08:49.92 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 174kt 08:08:50.39 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 174kt 08:08:50.87 ... 625ft ... 71ft ... 172kt From the Preliminary Report's airport cctv picture, the RAT was seen deployed at, by my estimate here , 150ft baro altitude, between 4-7 seconds after rotation. So the ADSB readings have to be prior to that. What's interesting is that the ADSB data covers: - 4-5 seconds of time (let's approximate 4 seconds from 46.55 to 50.55, ignoring the 0.32s for the moment) - 50ft of altitude gain - Declining airspeed from the 1st reading to the last in this final segment from the runway. Big questions in my mind: 1. If the loss of ADSB corresponds to the E1/E2Fuel Cutoff switches being moved from RUN -> CUTOFF, why is the airspeed declining for the prior 4 seconds? 2. In 4 seconds, why is there only 50ft of altitude gain? that seems odd. 3. To account for only 50ft of alt gain, if we assume the 1st reading is on the runway just before rotation, the intermediate +25ft alt gain is at rotation (Nose up but MLG still on the runway), and the last 4 readings are in the air (nose up an additional 25ft), that means that 1 second or less after lift-off, ADSB was lost - this is before E1/E2 FCO RUN-> CUTOFF. It's just weird . The widely watched video shows a very normal initial rotation and climb. |
jimtx
July 18, 2025, 03:23:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924808 |
Yea DAR, it's time for another break. It's been days since anything really new has been posted - just hamster wheel arguments of the same theories, and even stuff that I thought had been thoroughly discredited, dead, and buried has come back to life (e.g. TCMA and the fuel condition switches both unilaterally changing state).
If something new comes up - then either reopen or someone can start a new one.
Spoiler
Last edited by T28B; 18th July 2025 at 13:32 . Reason: rant placed in the spoiler |
appruser
July 18, 2025, 03:43:00 GMT permalink Post: 11924815 |
I am not sure why 50 feet in 4 seconds seems odd right after liftoff in a heavy aircraft. That corresponds to 750 FPM. Seems entirely normal to me. The rate would have been increasing as the timeline advanced. I would also point out that RAT deployment verses the rat coming online fully are two different times. When that RAT is singled to deploy it bangs out nearly instantly. It begins producing its rated electrical and hydraulic power sometime after deployment.
The widely watched video shows a very normal initial rotation and climb. Since the preliminary report states E2 cutoff after 3-4 seconds after lift-off, if that cutoff corresponds to ADSB interruption and which itself was only transmitting for 4 seconds, then 50ft after liftoff is a bit anemic? But if we include the first 25ft after rotation but before lift-off, then, because the ADSB duration is only 4 seconds, it means that ADSB was interrupted before the E2 FCO operation. I don't know if there is a sliding window - part after rotation, part after lift-off that might meet all of these constraints. That still leaves unexplained the declining airspeed seen in the ADSB data... did prior discussions on the ADSB data cover this? is there a good explanation? Last edited by appruser; 18th July 2025 at 04:03 . Reason: fixed heights |
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