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EDMJ
2025-06-13T14:55:00 permalink Post: 11900595 |
In
2 users liked this post. |
Lionel Lion
2025-06-13T14:57:00 permalink Post: 11900598 |
In
this video
of a 787 take-off, first the inner main landing gear bay doors open, and then the bogies tilt downwards. In the first video of the crash, the bogies appear to be tilted downwards but said doors remain closed?
1 user liked this post. |
dragon6172
2025-06-13T15:16:00 permalink Post: 11900622 |
In
this video
of a 787 take-off, first the inner main landing gear bay doors open, and then the bogies tilt downwards. In the first video of the crash, the bogies appear to be tilted downwards but said doors remain closed?
The video of the crash shows the gear tilted down, which should mean gear up was selected, however something kept the sequence from continuing (loss of hydraulic pressure for example). Discussed here 6 users liked this post. |
boaclhryul
2025-06-13T17:07:00 permalink Post: 11900700 |
The accident aircraft was a -8 and does not have that feature. Main gear bogies tilt nose down, then gear doors open, then retraction ... The video of the crash shows the
gear tilted down
, which
should mean gear up was selected
, however
something kept the sequence from continuing
(loss of hydraulic pressure for example).
|
neila83
2025-06-13T18:13:00 permalink Post: 11900769 |
Why on earth would their speed increase if they inadvertantly retracted the flaps?! If flaps are inadvertantly selected up without the required airspeed, the nose would have to be raised to compensate for the loss of lift from the flaps in order to maintain a rate of climb/avoid a sink, which would have the secondary effect of reducing airspeed... It's genuinely frightening the level of technical knowledge on this forum.
So much confirmation bias here. A lot of people settled on flaps being the cause at the start and are now completely blind to all the overwhelming evidence saying it had nothing to do with flaps. I don't blame you, even professionals in critical jobs fall victim to it, see various miscarriages of justice after police got fixated on one suspect and refused to accept all following overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Hopefully air crash investigators are a little more open minded, and not quite as determined to blame the dead guys. |
pug
2025-06-13T18:23:00 permalink Post: 11900780 |
You're right it is frightening. Flaps add drag, OK not much at a takeoff setting but a little. If you retract them without changing power and without increasing climb, speed will increase. It's physics. This plane started descending. You think a plane retracted flaps, started descending and in the process lost around 60 knots (probably more actually, that's based on an average). Also the landing gear actually appear to just start the retraction process, the bogies tilt up which is the first phase, and then it suddenly stops. So that rules out 'pulling the wrong lever'.
So much confirmation bias here. A lot of people settled on flaps being the cause at the start and are now completely blind to all the overwhelming evidence saying it had nothing to do with flaps. I don't blame you, even professionals in critical jobs fall victim to it, see various miscarriages of justice after police got fixated on one suspect and refused to accept all following overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Hopefully air crash investigators are a little more open minded, and not quite as determined to blame the dead guys. One thing is for certain though and that is that, due to the number of 787 aircraft in service and the ominous nature of the event, we may see preliminary findings released fairly swiftly. |
xyze
2025-06-13T18:57:00 permalink Post: 11900808 |
In the take off video I think there is a subtle yaw to the right at lift off (the moment it begins being obscured by the building in the foreground). There is then a massive blast of dust on the airfield on the left side of the aircraft as it lifts off. Later video audio suggests the engines were not at full power ( or even operating - just wind noise) and that the RAT was whirring. It also shows the fuselage wheel bogies were tilted forward - so wheels up has commenced - but the gear doors are not open.
Possible sequence: right engine failure at rotation, firewalling of left engine, lift off and positive rate, gear up lever activated, wheels tilt forward, left engine failure, RAT deployed, insufficient hydraulics to Open gear doors to complete gear up sequence, ongoing dual engine failure? 1 user liked this post. |
neila83
2025-06-13T20:50:00 permalink Post: 11900886 |
We're all shouting each other down with two main different theories on why the aircraft lost lift so shortly after takeoff.
1) Incorrect flap retraction causing the aircraft to lose lift and unable to recover the energy in time. (Not unheard of and plenty of reports where this has happened - albeit usually not to a crash). 2) Loss of engine thrust backed up two potential pieces of evidence that back up the RAT was deployed (apparent RAT sound, potential RAT seen on low res video). It is impossible to know which of these is the case. Considering this summary of memory items is there the potential for a combination of both theories to have taken place? Inadvertant flap retraction by PNF leading the PF to sense a sink and loss of lift. Pushes the thrust levers forward to the firewall and still the aircraft sinks. PF looking through the HUD and so very much 'outside focused' and doesn't realise that PNF has instead moved the flaps. PF defaults to memory items for loss of thrust on both engines before PNF can realise or communicate to PF what they've done, start switches are cut off which drops the RAT and from that point they're only heading one way. This would satisfy the strongly held belief that the RAT was extended, whilst also following the more likely initial cause of an action slip by PNF starting the sequence, rather than a dual engine failure. As has been said many times as well, the landing gear retraction process appears to start as the bogies tilt, and then suddenly stops. Which rather suggests they did pull the gear lever. Based on the videos and the amount of speed the plane lost in the very brief sequence ovents, I'd say that the plane lost power a lot earlier than it would have in your theory. Last edited by neila83; 13th Jun 2025 at 21:03 . 3 users liked this post. |
bobbytables
2025-06-13T21:51:00 permalink Post: 11900948 |
Retracting the flaps would put them at the back of the power curve where drag increases with decreasing speed, causing the speed to reduce further!
The trouble seems to start at the exact moment the gear should have been raised, putting the flaps up, iso the gear, would cause the kind of loss of lift you see in the video. From there on, being at the back of the power curve, only firewalling the thrust levers and extending the flaps again could have saved them. |
fdr
2025-06-13T22:13:00 permalink Post: 11900962 |
At this stage, at least two scenarios seem highly plausible:
1. Technical issue Airliners rely on air/ground logic , which is fundamental to how systems operate. There have been numerous crashes and serious incidents linked to this logic functioning incorrectly. Some engineering tests require the air/ground switch to be set in a particular mode. If it's inadvertently left in engineering mode—or if the system misinterprets the mode—this can cause significant problems.
2. Pilot misselection of fuel control switches to cutoff This is still a very real possibility. If it occurred, the pilot responsible may not have done it consciously—his mindset could have been in a different mode. There’s precedent: an A320 pilot once inadvertently shut down both engines over Paris. Fortunately, the crew managed to restart them. Afterward, the pilot reportedly couldn’t explain his actions. If something similar happened here, then when the pilots realized the engines had stopped producing thrust, pushing the levers forward would have had no effect. It’s easy to overlook that the fuel switches are in the wrong position—they're far from the normal scan pattern. And with the ground rushing up, the view outside would’ve been far more commanding. Speaking personally, when I shut down engines at the end of a flight, I consciously force myself to operate each fuel switch independently and with full attention. I avoid building muscle memory that might lead to switching off both engines in a fast, well-practiced habit. If this is a technical issue, I assume we’ll know soon enough. On item 2, the video shows no asymmetry at any time, so there is only a symmetric failure of the engines possible. Back on a B747 classic, you could chop all 4 engines at the same time with one hand, on a B737, also, not so much on a B777 or B787. I would doubt that anyone used two hands to cut the fuel at screen height. Note, there was a B744 that lost one engine in cruise when a clip board fell off the coaming. Didn't happen twice, and it only happened to one engine.
Yes indeed, the moment they pulled the gear lever, as we see the gear begin the retraction process, and then suddenly stop. Almost as if they suddenly lost power.
We can see the landing gear retraction process begin. We see the bogies tilted in the second video. We can hear the RAT. We can see the RAT. We can see the flaps extended in the video and at the crash site. There isn't actually a single piece of evidence the flaps were raised, it's just a conclusion people jumped too before evidence began to emerge. The crazy thing is, when the report comes out and there is no mention of flaps none of the people who have been pushing the flap theory will self reflect or learn anything. They'll think those of us who didn't buy into it were just lucky, rather than it being down to use of fairly simple critical thinking. Neila83 is correct, the gear tilt pre retraction is rear wheels low, and at the commencement of the selection of the retraction cycle (generally), There is enough in the way of anomalies here to end up with regulatory action, and airlines themselves should/will be starting to pore over their systems and decide if they are comfortable with the airworthiness of the aircraft at this moment. A latent single point of failure is not a comfortable place to be. Inhibiting TCMA might be a good interim option, that system could have been negated by having the ATR ARM switches....(Both)... ARM deferred to the before takeoff checks. The EAFR recovery should result in action within the next 24-48 hours. Boeing needs to be getting their tiger teams warmed up, they can ill afford to have a latent system fault discovered that is not immediately responded to, and the general corporate response of "blame the pilots" is not likely to win any future orders. I think we are about to have some really busy days for the OEM. Not sure that Neila83 is that far off the mark at all. Last edited by fdr; 14th Jun 2025 at 01:21 . Reason: corrected for B788 by Capt Bloggs! 8 users liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-13T22:50:00 permalink Post: 11900977 |
I've been closely examining a video frame captured very early in the footage depicting the aircraft's final moments. In this particular frame, I believe the
left main landing gear (MLG) door is clearly visible in the open position
, while the
right MLG door appears closed
. Additionally, both
main gear bogies are noticeably tilted forward
\x97 a configuration that typically occurs at the initiation of the gear retraction sequence.
This combination strongly suggests that a gear retraction was commanded , but the sequence was interrupted and never completed . What\x92s particularly striking is the asymmetry \x97 the left door open, the right door closed \x97 which should not occur during normal operations and points toward a possible hydraulic failure scenario during retraction. As many will know, on the Boeing 787-8, each main gear door is hydraulically actuated and powered by its respective side\x92s hydraulic system \x97 the left gear door by the left hydraulic system , and the right by the right . This leads me to propose the following hypothesis:
Further supporting this theory are:
In the meantime, my thoughts are very much with all those affected by this heartbreaking event. ( NOTE: Unfortunately this is my first post here. I wanted to upload the frame for all to see but the forum is restricting me from doing this until I reach 8 posts. I can't link to it via a URL either. I studied a frame from the very start of the video, just as the full aircraft enters view and expanded it by 400% allowing me to see the position of the MLG doors). 2 users liked this post. |
Capn Bloggs
2025-06-14T00:55:00 permalink Post: 11901046 |
@FDR,
you made a comment earlier re the gear sequencing. It appears that you were referring to the 787-9 (doors then tilt). The 787-8 is different, according to
this post
and this YT video:
In it, the -8 tilts the bogies then opens the doors. 1 user liked this post. |
fdr
2025-06-14T01:17:00 permalink Post: 11901056 |
@FDR,
you made a comment earlier re the gear sequencing. It appears that you were referring to the 787-9 (doors then tilt). The 787-8 is different, according to
this post
and this YT video:
https://youtu.be/9R-Netu9m8A In it, the -8 tilts the bogies then opens the doors. 2 users liked this post. |
Someone Somewhere
2025-06-14T03:05:00 permalink Post: 11901101 |
Miscellaneous comments:
With the loss of centre-system pressure*, would you expect the bogies to tilt naturally? I.e. spring pressure holds the gear in the stowed tilt, a hydraulic cylinder pushes the gear to the landing tilt. No pressure means the gear returns to the 'stowed' tilt. The tilt actuator is designed to be overridden when the bogie hits the ground, so perhaps it has some kind of intentional bypass and doesn't stay in place without continually applied hydraulic pressure. If so, that would also point towards total loss of electrics and no attempt to raise the gear. * 787 centre system is powered by two electric pumps, plus the RAT. The RAT hydraulic pump only powers flight controls, not the landing gear. Electric loss: Surely even total AC power loss shouldn't result in engine loss, even if the RAT doesn't come online. The FADECs have their own alternators, bare minimum flight control computers and actuators are available on battery (though probably result in some equivalent of Direct Law), and boost pumps are unnecessary at low altitude. Left/right EDPs will remain active if the engines are running at any serious speed; providing flight controls. Poor crew reaction to ending up in direct law is possible but it's hard to see the electrical issues as a cause, not a symptom. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com.../121823103.cms |
Capn Bloggs
2025-06-14T07:06:00 permalink Post: 11901181 |
Originally Posted by
B2N2
I know there is a brake MEL/DMI that requires gear to remain down for 2 min.
Perhaps a reason for the gear down situation. Plane crash near Ahmedabad..
Originally Posted by
Parishiltons
Is it possible that a reduced power takeoff error is a factor, similar to the EK407 near-accident in Melbourne?
Originally Posted by
B2N2
​​​​​​​
Yes, very much so.
Last edited by Capn Bloggs; 14th Jun 2025 at 07:22 . Reason: Punctuation. |
parishiltons
2025-06-14T08:04:00 permalink Post: 11901231 |
Does the gear tip forward in this case? Because it's tipped forward in the crash aircraft.
Plane crash near Ahmedabad.. Really? What would you do when you realised you stuffed up the power settings for takeoff? Just sit there for many seconds and crash?? Of course not. You'd slam the throttles to the firewall, just like the EK 407 captain did. Even if you then forgot the gear, it'd still fly. And the Miami incident is a red herring because once the aircraft was airborne, it was always going to fly, because the takeoff thrust was correct. |
Capn Bloggs
2025-06-14T09:28:00 permalink Post: 11901302 |
Originally Posted by
Sisiphos
Not sure where the idea comes from the gear was partially retracted...
Plane crash near Ahmedabad.. ​​​​​​​ 3 users liked this post. |
Roseland
2025-06-14T11:49:00 permalink Post: 11901397 |
I think they meant the retraction had "commenced". A previous post said the bogeys on the -8 tip forward, then the doors open. In the video, the bogeys are tipped forward but the doors remain closed.
Plane crash near Ahmedabad.. 1 user liked this post. |
TehDehZeh
2025-06-14T17:24:00 permalink Post: 11901678 |
There have been a couple comments regarding the tilt of the bogies not corresponding to the landing configuration which have taken this as an indicator for an attempted (but failed) retraction.
I don't think anybody has so far confirmed which of the two positions the bogie would have without hydraulic pressure, but I would strongly think it is the one used in the retraction/extension cycle and not the landing configuration, for the simple reason that otherwise the gravity drop would potentially not work (I assume it is tilted for the stowing because it would otherwise not fit). Maybe someone with concrete knowledge can confirm this? This would then only confirm that the bogies were unpressurized (likely because of loss of hydraulics, but of course could also still be a partial retraction that stopped for some reason) |
Someone Somewhere
2025-06-14T17:35:00 permalink Post: 11901681 |
What concerns me a little bit is if indeed AC power is lost, would the suction feed inlets in the wing tanks provide enough fuel flow to maintain TO thrust?
I know the system is designed to achieve this in a situation where all of the AC powered boost pumps are lost. But what about in a real situation... Could this cause a degradation of thrust? Even the slightest decrease..
I did read and search this thread, but I found nothing about ADS-B loss just before the end of the runway and at 71 ft high, according to FR24. ADS-B coverage is poor on the ground on the north-east part of the airfield (hence the fake news about taking off from the intersection) but I don't think it would be lost once airborne, except if it has been shut off... electrical failure ?
more precisely, loss of the two Main AC buses (ADS-B not powered by Standby AC) There's a list of equipment operable on battery/RAT here, but I'm not sure which (if any) is the transponder (26:10): If you had gear pins and an engine loss, I could maybe see climb rate being zero or slightly negative. Not the brick impression we see here.
There have been a couple comments regarding the tilt of the bogies not corresponding to the landing configuration which have taken this as an indicator for an attempted (but failed) retraction.
I don't think anybody has so far confirmed which of the two positions the bogie would have without hydraulic pressure, but I would strongly think it is the one used in the retraction/extension cycle and not the landing configuration, for the simple reason that otherwise the gravity drop would potentially not work (I assume it is tilted for the stowing because it would otherwise not fit). Maybe someone with concrete knowledge can confirm this? This would then only confirm that the bogies were unpressurized (likely because of loss of hydraulics, but of course could also still be a partial retraction that stopped for some reason) 2 users liked this post. |