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L8ngtkite
2025-06-12T16:29:00 permalink Post: 11899442 |
All VFGs offline?
Suggests dual engine shutdown/rollback (VFGs offline) with auto RAT deployment.
Full length departure. Aircraft flaps/slats extended. Mayday broadcast. This has a long way to go. I wouldn't be judging the Liveware until the data\x92s been analyzed in detail. 1 user liked this post. |
JG1
2025-06-12T17:19:00 permalink Post: 11899499 |
Looking at the video of the takeoff roll, it seemed normal, normal rotation, normal initial climb. Other incidents with incorrect performance data or incorrect flap setting (especially flapless) resulted in an extended rotation phase, often with a tailstrike which doesn't seem to be the case here. So the flaps were probably set correctly.
This aircraft then climbed okay but then 3 things happened 1. They didn't raise the gear (maybe due distraction) 2. They apparently called a mayday for an engine problem 3. The aircraft started to sink and continued to do so until ground impact The videos and the flight path don't seem to show lateral deviation or rudder application but if they called mayday for an engine problem we've got to go with that. Perhaps the flaps were retracted early but I don't see any pitch change, just sink. As the aircraft is certified to fly on a single engine, it should have done so. That it didn't seems to indicate that the other engine also stopped developing the required thrust. Whether it was shut down unintentionally or damaged due to some environmental factor remains to be seen but my moneys on inadvertent shutdown. |
tinshifter
2025-06-12T18:03:00 permalink Post: 11899551 |
I think it may be a simple case of inaccurate takeoff performance data, or inadvertent retraction of flaps instead of gear (this can happen and does happen).
I'm no expert and open to discussion, but it looks to me like the slats are somewhat extended but the flaps weren't, or at least not from the angles we have seen so far. The autogap system on the B787 will automatically extend the slats if they are already in the middle position (i.e Flaps 1) with KIAS <225. Perhaps, either the inaccurate input for takeoff performance produced figures that allowed a Flaps 1 departure, leading to a longer takeoff roll and then once out of ground effect, insufficient climb gradient and a pilot induced stall. Alternatively, at the point where you would likely ask for gear up, the PM has inadvertently selected Flaps 1 from Flaps 5 leading to the same effect. Pilots experienced startle and shock, declared a Mayday as they knew they were descending when they shouldn't be and didn't have time to appropriately react. Dual engine failure is obviously a possibilty however rare it might be. but it doesn't look like any catastrophic failure from the video. Clearly a sad day for all in aviation and looking forward to the official investigation and results, hopefully something we can all learn from. 6 users liked this post. |
ahmetdouas
2025-06-12T18:05:00 permalink Post: 11899553 |
Looking at the video of the takeoff roll, it seemed normal, normal rotation, normal initial climb. Other incidents with incorrect performance data or incorrect flap setting (especially flapless) resulted in an extended rotation phase, often with a tailstrike which doesn't seem to be the case here. So the flaps were probably set correctly.
This aircraft then climbed okay but then 3 things happened 1. They didn't raise the gear (maybe due distraction) 2. They apparently called a mayday for an engine problem 3. The aircraft started to sink and continued to do so until ground impact The videos and the flight path don't seem to show lateral deviation or rudder application but if they called mayday for an engine problem we've got to go with that. Perhaps the flaps were retracted early but I don't see any pitch change, just sink. As the aircraft is certified to fly on a single engine, it should have done so. That it didn't seems to indicate that the other engine also stopped developing the required thrust. Whether it was shut down unintentionally or damaged due to some environmental factor remains to be seen but my moneys on inadvertent shutdown. The most obvious answer is low power/flaps setting if the engines were weird they would have probably aborted take off. Bird strike/engine issue during take off roll after v1? Super unlikely but never say never |
KSINGH
2025-06-12T18:11:00 permalink Post: 11899556 |
Obviously not confirmed but this is quite a prominent journalist in India reporting the words of the apparent mayday:
1 user liked this post. |
YRP
2025-06-12T18:42:00 permalink Post: 11899587 |
A mayday call will normally contain information about the nature of the emergency.
The flaps instead of gear is based on the landing gear being down throughout the whole emergency. It\x92s just weird. I get that it may be overlooked in a stressful situation, but when they had time for a mayday call? So, someone said the 747 will have an early thrust reduction if you retract flaps too early, is this also the case with the 787? |
RCyyz
2025-06-12T18:43:00 permalink Post: 11899589 |
I am not a pilot so apologies if this is a basic question.
Watching the CCTV from the airport, it doesn't look like there was much time to do anything. I'm surprised someone called a Mayday (if that's true). And even to me, it seems pretty clear that bird never had enough power to go much of anywhere except where it did. All so very tragic. |
JG1
2025-06-12T19:05:00 permalink Post: 11899613 |
nothing was normal the plane rotated right at the end of the runway far too late and barely climbed at all for 10 seconds before falling 20 seconds and finally crashing 30 seconds after take off.
The most obvious answer is low power/flaps setting if the engines were weird they would have probably aborted take off. Bird strike/engine issue during take off roll after v1? Super unlikely but never say never
"engine issue during take off roll after v1?
Super unlikely but never say never" Last edited by T28B; 12th Jun 2025 at 19:10 . Reason: quote whom you quoted 1 user liked this post. |
nike
2025-06-12T19:42:00 permalink Post: 11899664 |
Having now seen the \x93airport video\x94 it does look as if the aircraft climbs normally initially before losing climb rate, around the same sort of time the pilot flying would call for gear up.
I have to say, inadvertently selecting flaps 5 to flaps 1 instead of raising the gear does seem the most logical cause given what we see on the footage. That, or some issue causing lack of thrust from both engines, which is arguably just as unlikely. The dust cloud is a little odd but I\x92m not familiar with the airport. That may be normal. 787\x92s have the longest take off runs in modern day aviation and it\x92s possible they don\x92t frequent that airport. 8 users liked this post. |
ahmetdouas
2025-06-12T20:01:00 permalink Post: 11899683 |
Are you familiar with balanced runway performance? Are you a heavy jet pilot? The rotation was normal. The aircraft definitely seems to have reached screen height. If so, it rotated at that position by design. It's initial climb seemed normal, notwithstanding it's duration, obviously until it stopped climbing..
Well, that's what one of the pilots reported in his mayday transmission. no way even with balanced engine performance you do not take off with no runway to spare you always leave some margin something was wrong from the start, whether that being flaps (which look like it from pics) or derated engine thrust. Something else may have happened, let\x92s see. Whatever the case that was not a normal take off roll |
AndrewW
2025-06-12T20:23:00 permalink Post: 11899693 |
The theories concerning inadvertent flap retraction are not consistent with the apparent transcript from the mayday call made or rat deployment. In the first video that circulated, the engines can\x92t really be heard (certainly not producing any significant amount of thrust). If the aircraft was climbing out misconfigured, those engines would be screaming. Instead, all you can hear is the rat.
Similarly - a bird strike, knocking out two engines simultaneously is a noisy/messy event and I would expect to see evidence of this occurring in both videos, and in the area at the point of ingestion. The engines don\x92t just roll back with a bird strike - they surge, smoke, bang and splutter. It would be very apparent. At this time, I think everything is pointing towards both engines simultaneously having their fuel feeds interrupted between V1 and Vr. CVR/FDR will be interesting. 7 users liked this post. |
SQUAWKIDENT
2025-06-12T20:26:00 permalink Post: 11899696 |
I really want to know/hear what information was contained within the Mayday call. Unedited.
Lots of loony speculation on this thread from people I really hope are not qualified Pilots (or qualified ANYTHING for that matter). Thankfully the mods are doing an excellent job and weeding them out ASAP. 4 users liked this post. |
FL370 Officeboy
2025-06-12T20:42:00 permalink Post: 11899714 |
The theories concerning inadvertent flap retraction are not consistent with the apparent transcript from the mayday call made or rat deployment. In the first video that circulated, the engines can\x92t really be heard (certainly not producing any significant amount of thrust). If the aircraft was climbing out misconfigured, those engines would be screaming. Instead, all you can hear is the rat.
Similarly - a bird strike, knocking out two engines simultaneously is a noisy/messy event and I would expect to see evidence of this occurring in both videos, and in the area at the point of ingestion. The engines don\x92t just roll back with a bird strike - they surge, smoke, bang and splutter. It would be very apparent. At this time, I think everything is pointing towards both engines simultaneously having their fuel feeds interrupted between V1 and Vr. CVR/FDR will be interesting. The fact none of the above happened, coupled with the lack of landing gear coming up, makes me think they didn\x92t have thrust to play with. 2 users liked this post. |
ILS27LEFT
2025-06-12T20:46:00 permalink Post: 11899718 |
The theories concerning inadvertent flap retraction are not consistent with the apparent transcript from the mayday call made or rat deployment. In the first video that circulated, the engines can\x92t really be heard (certainly not producing any significant amount of thrust). If the aircraft was climbing out misconfigured, those engines would be screaming. Instead, all you can hear is the rat.
Similarly - a bird strike, knocking out two engines simultaneously is a noisy/messy event and I would expect to see evidence of this occurring in both videos, and in the area at the point of ingestion. The engines don\x92t just roll back with a bird strike - they surge, smoke, bang and splutter. It would be very apparent. At this time, I think everything is pointing towards both engines simultaneously having their fuel feeds interrupted between V1 and Vr. CVR/FDR will be interesting. 3 users liked this post. |
LTC8K6
2025-06-12T20:54:00 permalink Post: 11899725 |
If you don't realize what you did, you might?
Last edited by T28B; 12th Jun 2025 at 22:38 . Reason: typo correction 6 users liked this post. |
bbofh
2025-06-13T02:34:00 permalink Post: 11899935 |
Would not be the first time that an accident has uncovered unintended consequences of a particular fallback configuration that was never able to be checked by either/any of Airbus, McDD or Boeing developmental test-pilots. Thinking of the automatic thrust augment/restoration on the MD81 (regn OY-KHO) that crashed 27Dec91 near Gottrora in Sweden (double engine failure). Design Boffins failed to realize that ice-sheet ingestion (sliding off the wings to be ingested by both rear-mount engines) would not benefit at all from each engine hiccup causing a continual uprating of the other (and vice-versa). To be found/uncovered in a simulator you would have to be testing various pilot inadvertencies (rather than rote expected actions). Then again, don't always believe the outcomes to be seen in a simulator. They don't necessarily faithfully emulate what would happen systems-wise in an aircraft... particularly when it comes to complex materiel failure modes or illogical sequiturs (e.g. MCAS)
So, if such an untestable circumstance were to happen to a competent crew and they were to inadvertently shut-down the wrong engine (and then/were in "clean-up mode": a. The residual hyds would break the downlocks - but not retract the gear (and it would appear to be still selected down) b. The alternate flaps might start to retract (gear downlocks not being now "made") once selected, but the slats remain out. c. the RAT would deploy The point at which all thrust ceases (and the climb vector flattens/reverses) is easily seen in the video shot from the 6:30 clock position from about a km away. It's readily apparent. An engine failure just off the runway after V1 in a fully loaded 787-8 in high ambient temperatures would assuredly have a crew thinking about a "toute suite" shutdown of a misbehaving donk. That's human nature. When the PERF is quite sluggish you will be thinking that a quick clean-up of the situation is certainly called for. That's just human nature unfortunately, particularly when you are under the time compression of dire circumstance (and the airframe is performing like a lame dog, just due to the environmentals and the early failure). I think that what the pilot reportedly said to ATC in his Mayday bears that out as being his instant mindset (quite clearly). Been in that "fools rush in" circ myself. You just have to "sit on your hands" and fly the beast. But then again, if the RAT was NOT found deployed, then it's a case of the right seat mistakenly sucking in the flaps and slats... and that will do it... whatever the power/TOGA might be. https://tinyurl.com/4zzkeeud Rotation +33s Mayday call +44s, circa 300 ft altitude (ADS-B) Peak altitude +49s, 625 ft (Flightradar24) Impact +58s, crash site 1.6 km from runway Last edited by bbofh; 13th Jun 2025 at 07:53 . 1 user liked this post. |
Msunduzi
2025-06-13T03:54:00 permalink Post: 11899969 |
Where are the details of the mayday call? Maybe I have just missed it.
I only saw the words quoted in one post, and I'm not sure that post looked factual. Quite surprised there have been no recordings posted anywhere (even allowing for different lifestyles and hobbies) |
Sisiphos
2025-06-13T04:00:00 permalink Post: 11899970 |
Unless you were in the cockpit of the aircraft in question and moreso the actual human who was facing the situation unfold, it\x92s simply your opinion and pure conjecture. I fly with and train 777 pilots in the sim. These are pilots with thousands of hours and some who have decades of experience. \x93Aviate, navigate and communicate\x94 is a basic tenet of flying, taught at the very beginning of one\x92s aviation journey but you would obviously be surprised at how sometimes when the stress level is high, that basic things have to be pointed out to these individuals, when the fit hits the shan.
I learnt a long time ago, not to judge accident pilots, unless I\x92d walked in their shoes. PS I am a senior widebody pilot with 30 years experience. Maybe start by refraining from judging me to set a good example ;-) Last edited by Sisiphos; 13th Jun 2025 at 04:28 . 2 users liked this post. |
Toruk Macto
2025-06-13T04:37:00 permalink Post: 11899985 |
If tower is not looking a radio call would advise someone there is about to be a big issue and getting services notified asap giving best chance ? In this case it may of made little difference ?
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bbofh
2025-06-13T05:11:00 permalink Post: 11900005 |
Content of AI 787 pilot's distress call: https://tinyurl.com/2ud2cdyn https://tinyurl.com/yj58apka Cannot relocate the actual recording - but it seemed to be a clear and unrushed statement per the above content cited at the two links |
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