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mechpowi
2025-06-13T22:50:00 permalink Post: 11900977 |
I've been closely examining a video frame captured very early in the footage depicting the aircraft's final moments. In this particular frame, I believe the
left main landing gear (MLG) door is clearly visible in the open position
, while the
right MLG door appears closed
. Additionally, both
main gear bogies are noticeably tilted forward
\x97 a configuration that typically occurs at the initiation of the gear retraction sequence.
This combination strongly suggests that a gear retraction was commanded , but the sequence was interrupted and never completed . What\x92s particularly striking is the asymmetry \x97 the left door open, the right door closed \x97 which should not occur during normal operations and points toward a possible hydraulic failure scenario during retraction. As many will know, on the Boeing 787-8, each main gear door is hydraulically actuated and powered by its respective side\x92s hydraulic system \x97 the left gear door by the left hydraulic system , and the right by the right . This leads me to propose the following hypothesis:
Further supporting this theory are:
In the meantime, my thoughts are very much with all those affected by this heartbreaking event. ( NOTE: Unfortunately this is my first post here. I wanted to upload the frame for all to see but the forum is restricting me from doing this until I reach 8 posts. I can't link to it via a URL either. I studied a frame from the very start of the video, just as the full aircraft enters view and expanded it by 400% allowing me to see the position of the MLG doors). Subjects: Dual Engine Failure Engine Failure (All) Gear Retraction Hydraulic Failure (All) Hydraulic Pumps MLG (All) MLG Tilt Mayday RAT (All) 2 users liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-14T08:01:00 permalink Post: 11901229 |
I would say an average passenger has problems differentiating between thrust and G.
Even after engines lost all power G could still vary quite a bit as the pilots tried to crash with as little energy as possible. Any passenger could feel this varying G as varying thrust instead. It\x92s a known path that removing fuel from the jet engines will lead to (momentarily) loss of main electric power (if the APU is not runing). It\x92s a less speculated (and a less likely) area that what path might lead to loss of engine thust if main electric power is lost? Subjects: APU 1 user liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-14T08:48:00 permalink Post: 11901269 |
Hmm. Not sure where the idea comes from the gear was partially retracted... I can't see any signs for it on the video, nor can I see a RAT. and just to say "some event" must have happened is not very helpful, is it? Of course "something" has happened, but the question remains what.
Would it not make more sense to assume there is no RAT if no RAT is visible? Could it be that we as pilots are in general biased to find a technical reason, although we all know the vast majority of accidents are down to human error? Deployed RAT doesn\x92t rule out pilot error, so no bias there. Subjects: RAT (All) RAT (Deployment) 1 user liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-14T13:20:00 permalink Post: 11901478 |
It was hard to let it go, so I spent a bit more time with the audio, using filtering and matching to see if I could be even more sure.
It's a pity uploading audio to this site isn't as easy as uploading photos, but I can say it took very little filtering and matching to make the Air India audio become nearly indistinguishable from audio taken of B787 with known RAT extended during landing. I can't see it in the photos either, but in these circumstances the audio is a lot more trustworthy, and from my audio point of view RAT deployment is 100% confirmed. In the off chance that the audio I borrowed from a confirmed RAT event was somehow faked, I plotted the technical data I could find of the B787 RAT (4000rpm, 2 blades) combined with a height estimate and asked the O3 model with deep research to estimate doppler shift and speed. The result matches the above documented 270-200Hz (in one of the harmonics) Doppler shift observed in 1.7 seconds. Last edited by mechpowi; 14th Jun 2025 at 14:08 . Subjects: Audio Analysis RAT (All) RAT (Deployment) 5 users liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-14T16:05:00 permalink Post: 11901610 |
Woulda shoulda coulda and might not have changed this particular outcome, but is there a case in taking off with APU ON? It would give some level of redundancy for electrics and hydraulics and perhaps avoid the added shock and workload of losing thrust, electrics and hydraulics pretty much simultaneously in a rare scenario like this one. During Hudson river accident, APU ON was the first thing Sully did (apart from saying \x91my aircraft\x92) but he had more altitude and speed and electrics and the gear up. I know there are other considerations for using or not using APU depending on flight phase, but if it is safe and within design parameters, perhaps SOPs should give pilots discretion on whether or not they use the APU for critical flight phases? Just a thought.
Furthernore mandating use of the APU would be quite hyppocratic, if reduced thrust take-offs, single engine taxi outs, landing with less than maximum available flap or other cost saving measures were still allowed. Subjects: APU Parameters 1 user liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-14T22:39:00 permalink Post: 11901913 |
Almost all catastrophic accidents that are not deliberately initiated require multiple causes. It’s extremely unlikely that both engine condition switches or fire switches were accidentaly actuated during a routine rotation and initial climb. However it’s stil possible that the crew did actuate those switches (intentionally or unintentionally) in response to some anomaly experienced at that time. Thus it’s not impossible that electrical system malfunction was the first link in a sequence that led to removing the fuel supply to both engines. The most obvious one is that crew thought that they had dual engine failure due to lost of main electrical power and initiated a double engine restart bycling the engine condition levers.
The purpose of this post is not to promote the above as a possible cause of the accident, but to remaind people that a (proven) mechanical fault does not rule out pilot error and vice versa. Subjects: Dual Engine Failure Engine Failure (All) Fuel (All) Fuel Pumps |
mechpowi
2025-06-15T12:38:00 permalink Post: 11902430 |
What if the PF called stop just before V1 and closed the thrust levers but either changed his mind or was overridden by the other pilot, who rapidly pushed the thrust levers back up. Could this trigger a TCMA intervention and subsequent dual engine shutdown as it was still on the runway at this point? Hopefully not.
It also doesn\x92t explaine the ADS-B data showing acceleration after lift off. Subjects: ADSB Dual Engine Failure Engine Failure (All) Engine Shutdown TCMA (Activation) TCMA (All) V1 1 user liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-16T05:24:00 permalink Post: 11903103 |
a slight more precise translation as a native speaker. \x93After take off it felt as if we were still in one place & not moving. Then the sound of the engines racing (common Indian term for revving of engines on bikes & cars with the clutch depressed) & then green & white lights came on in the cabin as we hit something.\x94 In my opinion the race sound he talking about sounds like engine surges if compared to race.
Engine surge is heard as series of lound bangs or fainter popping sounds. Engine RPM is not increasing during a surge. One source of a revving sound could be the RAT revving up. However it doesn\x92t match the timeline of the (potentially unreliable) witness report. Emergnecy lights and RAT are both activated by loss of main electric power. I would assume that the lights come on instantly and the RAT take some time to deploy before revving up. Subjects: RAT (All) 1 user liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-16T05:39:00 permalink Post: 11903111 |
Based on the video taken from the left of the flight path, can we determine at what point of the runway rotation occurred? Is there positive confirmation that the takeoff roll started at the beginning of the runway ? Are the two indicative of trouble before rotation, as the Times states ?
Source: https://www.thetimes.com/world/asia/...rash-vhqw6b7v3 (paywalled) In the very early posts it was concluded from the evidence available that the takeoff roll started at the begining of the runway and the rotation was with around 4000 ft of runway remaining. The rotation point was assessed to be similar to other take offs. Aircraft attitude and flight path during rotation and lift off was assessed to seem normal. Subjects: Takeoff Roll 4 users liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-16T06:11:00 permalink Post: 11903125 |
Without any 787 knowledge, I would assume two discreet signals from respective Engine Fuel Switch to each FADEC channel, possibly with other redundancies. Or other solution that is at least as robust. Subjects: FADEC Fuel (All) Fuel Cutoff |
mechpowi
2025-06-16T05:39:00 permalink Post: 11903742 |
Based on the video taken from the left of the flight path, can we determine at what point of the runway rotation occurred? Is there positive confirmation that the takeoff roll started at the beginning of the runway ? Are the two indicative of trouble before rotation, as the Times states ?
Source: https://www.thetimes.com/world/asia/...rash-vhqw6b7v3 (paywalled) In the very early posts it was concluded from the evidence available that the takeoff roll started at the begining of the runway and the rotation was with around 4000 ft of runway remaining. The rotation point was assessed to be similar to other take offs. Aircraft attitude and flight path during rotation and lift off was assessed to seem normal. Subjects: Takeoff Roll |
mechpowi
2025-06-17T07:24:00 permalink Post: 11904022 |
Subjects: FADEC TCMA (All) 7 users liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-17T07:42:00 permalink Post: 11904035 |
If a gear retraction remains in "tilt", then what does that
interregnum
status say in response to various systems' interrogations of the WoW sensors? Is it stuck in the Netherworld of
betwixt and between
?
Perhaps the safer solution should be an additional circuitry micro-switch feed of all three "up and locked"? (that agrees with the gear-handle). Also waiting to hear what the 787-8 RADALT status is? Was it ever 5G emanations-proofed? Is there any software provision for the TCMA to know for sure that the gear is neither up nor down? I would doubt it. Does that uncertainty affect the thrust-lever's positional input? Using up and locked as signal to prevent TCMA activation is obviously more dangerous as it allows TCMA to function while the aircraft is in the air. Even in the same aircraft there might be different logics to determin if the aicraft is on the ground or in the air, depending what is the priority. Is the priority to know that the aircraft is in the air or on the ground or even NOT in the air. Some of those logics could use up-and-locked sensors and the gear handle position. Subjects: Gear Retraction MLG Tilt TCMA (Activation) TCMA (All) 2 users liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-17T15:25:00 permalink Post: 11904394 |
RAT powered systems
There’s been some debate over what electrical and hydraulic systems are powered. According to one unauthorized and Not For Flight -labeled FCOM copy that seems quite authentic:
“In-Air Rat Only Operation” mode (Standby Power) – If loss of all electrical power to captain’s and first officer’s flight instruments occurs in flight, the RAT energizes the captain’s flight instruments and other essential equipment for flight controls, navigation, and communication. The main battery provides standby power until RAT deployment. Significant loads energized by this mode include:
captain’s inboard DU • captain’s outboard DU • lower DU • autoflight system • MCP • autopilot • captain’s / first officer’s ACP • captain’s / first officer’s flight interphone • VHF L • TCP L • DSP L • MFK L • CCD L • IRU L, R • AHRU L, R • INR L, R • ISFD • FMC • PFC • CCR L • center pitot heat • engine/APU fire detection • miscellaneous lightin Note: Autothrottle, flaps, slats, stabilizer, thrust reversers, auto speedbrakes, air conditioning / pressurization, Head-Up displays, HF radios, SATCOM systems, external lighting, WIPS, and window heat are inoperative on standby power. “In-Air Battery Only” mode (Standby Power) – This mode energizes the same equipment as the “In-Air RAT Operation Only” mode with the exception of center pitot heat. Last edited by Senior Pilot; 17th Jun 2025 at 21:44 . Reason: Remove false information Subjects: APU FCOM Hydraulic Failure (All) Hydraulic Pumps RAT (All) RAT (Deployment) 6 users liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-18T12:13:00 permalink Post: 11905186 |
Hi all,
Disclaimer: I read this thread from hour 1, still scratching my head regarding perf though. I know sound analysis points to higher odds being a dual engine failure with RAT deployed, however I still have some questions if anyone is available to enlighten. So, my questions is related to T/O performance. Is it possible on the 787 to calculate perf in the OPT for F15/20 T/O, and to enter F5 T/O speed on the FMC ? By that I mean do normal procedure, but at the point where you are suppose to enter flaps, CG speed ect\x85. You, out of habit (if F5 is indeed a habit on the 787) enter F5, but F15/20 speeds ? Or would there be a warning that you have manually inputed speeds that are not correct for the selected flaps and conditions inputed in the FMC ? Thanks for the help ! Subjects: Dual Engine Failure Engine Failure (All) FCOM RAT (All) RAT (Deployment) V1 |
mechpowi
2025-06-18T13:32:00 permalink Post: 11905254 |
Lead Balloon:
\x93The "requirement" for TCMA was "specified" by the FAA. Manufacturers seeking certification of aeronautical products subject to the requirements then had no choice but to design and instal systems that met the FAA's certification requirements\x94. I think that has already been established upthread. \x93I'm pretty sure it's clear what "sources", other than TCMA systems if any, have "authority to issue an engine shutdown command", though it does depend on what you mean by "engine shutdown".\x94 I don\x92t think that is clear at all. The shutdown hypothesis, if true, both engines, makes it likely that they were commanded to do so. While the discussion has centered around the TCMA subsystem, if other subsystems have the ability to do that, they need to be defined and looked at as well. Subjects: Engine Failure (All) Engine Shutdown FAA TCMA (All) TCMA (Shutdown) |
mechpowi
2025-06-18T14:10:00 permalink Post: 11905281 |
mechpowl:
Thanks for that. That begs the question, if there is overspead protection already, perhaps multiple channels and sensors, why is TCMA needed at all ?. Blanket overspeed protection already covers the underlying requirement, ie: prevention of overspeed, all cases. Seems to be adding complexity for no reason. Subjects: TCMA (All) TCMA (Shutdown) 1 user liked this post. |
mechpowi
2025-06-18T14:22:00 permalink Post: 11905290 |
Hmmmmm\x85.then I wonder how the auto throttles will behave if a low stop height if the MCP is mis set \x97 potentially below 400\x92 AGL. Will they stay in hold, will they go to SPD, or will they engage in THR REF.
I never tried this in the sim on the 777 so I\x92m not sure. I was grateful that the 777 would change to SPD mode on initial altitude capture (as opposed to the -400 VMo here we go). It\x92s been a few years in any case though. Air India Ahmedabad accident 12th June 2025 Part 2 Subjects: None |
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