Posts by user "pug" [Posts: 9 Total up-votes: 6 Pages: 1]

pug
2025-06-12T09:58:00
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Post: 11898974
Originally Posted by logansi
I just saw the crash video, and I'm convinced I can't see take off flaps set
That was my first thought, I don\x92t like to speculate but it\x92s hard not to isn\x92t it. Perhaps time for Boeing to take a leaf out of Airbus book with regards to incorrect flap settings prior to take off and the config warning? The 738 will only provide a config warning if the flaps are in a non-standard take-off position but will not trigger in the event that the flap setting used does not match that of the performance solution for the given departure (intersection etc). Surely a fairly simple solution of FMC vs flap position. Do any of the 787 pilots on here know if that\x92s a thing? I know it\x92s not on the 738.

*obviously this may be wide of the mark on this occasion, but it\x92s an inherent risk that SOPs will trap 99.999% of the time*

Last edited by pug; 12th Jun 2025 at 11:56 .

Subjects: Flap Setting  Flaps (All)

pug
2025-06-12T10:30:00
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Post: 11899034
Originally Posted by Capn Bloggs
What, a takeoff warning horn? Seriously? There's no indication where the flaps were for takeoff .
Theres a horn for if flaps aren\x92t set to a valid takeoff position, but nothing to tell you if you\x92ve set, for instance, Flap 5 for a Flap 15 departure (738). Anyway, as the aircraft appears to have gained height initially, this is probably not the cause of this horrid event and I\x92m going against my own principles of not speculating. So apologies but I\x92ll watch with interest and hoping for many survivors.

Subjects: None

pug
2025-06-12T10:45:00
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Post: 11899049
Originally Posted by Gary Parata
787 driver here. The BEFORE TAKEOFF electronic checklist will not complete if the flap position indication does not agree with the flap setting entered into the CDU.
Thank you for the confirmation, this is something that is missing on the 738 and obviously therefore if the flap is in a normal take-off configuration it won\x92t warn you if it doesn\x92t agree with that entered into the FMC. Clearly not the issue here if there is such a warning system on the 787.

Last edited by pug; 12th Jun 2025 at 11:41 .

Subjects: Flap Setting  Flaps (All)

pug
2025-06-12T12:41:00
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Post: 11899167
Originally Posted by WillieTheWimp
Airbus does the same as 737, will only warn you if flaps are not in any takeoff position. The actual position within the takeoff range is irrelevant to the warning.

Is there not an ECAM if flap set does not match that which is entered into the MCDU? I\x92m not Airbus so pardon my ignorance but thanks to those who have responded. I\x92m also less than 1000 hours so I bow to the greater experience levels of those more enlightened on this thread. I regret posting earlier against my better judgement in lieu of the findings from the investigation. Was merely an unintended derailment of the topic due to someone mentioning flap settings, of course in this event there is no evidence to show any issue with the configuration of the aircraft. So apologies for this to whom it may have offended. Thoughts with the families of those involved, the speculation is all well intended no matter how premature because we all want to learn from these things don\x92t we.

Subjects: None

2 users liked this post.

pug
2025-06-13T12:16:00
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Post: 11900431
Originally Posted by Buster15
I understand that the FDR has been recovered from the crashed 787.
Could anyone tell me how many engine parameters are recorded and what is the sample rate.
Thank you.
Most likely anything between 256 and 1024wps, individual parameters will vary with regards sample rate. Not au-fait with 787 but other Boeing aircraft may have dataframes relative to the original owner requirements (though this is unlikely to vary much given my experience with Boeing aircraft). I\x92m not sure if GE have a real time EHM feed like RR? Anyhow, and not wanting to speculate too much, if there was anything engine related it would certainly show up on the DFDR and GE could possibly even know that by now if they are equipped with real time health monitoring. In my opinion, for what it\x92s worth, the CCTV footage is consistent with flap retraction instead of gear, something that would also be easily identifiable upon review of the FDR which will be reported upon in due course.

Last edited by pug; 13th Jun 2025 at 12:52 .

Subjects: CCTV  DFDR  FDR  Flap Retraction  Flaps (All)  Parameters

pug
2025-06-13T14:40:00
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Post: 11900581
Originally Posted by gearlever
BOEING, AIRBUS, MD, it doesn't matter, handles for Gear, Flaps different places, different shape. But it has happened and it will happen.....
Ive seen it happen in a previous (ground based) life fairly frequently (in relative terms) but exclusively during descent/approach. Usually the context would be expecting a flap call but when the gear call is made the flap handle is moved and quickly returned to the previous gated position followed immediately by gear selection, confirmed upon review of the data. To happen on takeoff would be most unusual, and although the CCTV footage is indicative of it being highly plausible, neither pieces of footage really show anything to draw any conclusions on. Certainly there may be numerous aspects to this, perhaps there was some catastrophic electrical failure that wasn\x92t of itself an immediate threat to the flight but the startle effect in the flight deck prompted other reactions. It\x92s impossible to know based off the information available. The human element will form a significant part of the investigation regardless of root cause(s).

Regarding the comments about who should be allowed to comment on such threads. I like the fact the mods have taken a pragmatic view of this. Theres a reason many in the accident investigation field come from an engineering background. Whilst highly experienced pilots are clearly crucial on an SME level, there can be a tendency for iwouldnthavedoneitthatway-itis. This can at times hinder investigations where an open mind free from confirmation bias is essential.

Subjects: CCTV  Electrical Failure  Flaps (All)  Flaps vs Gear

3 users liked this post.

pug
2025-06-13T18:23:00
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Post: 11900780
Originally Posted by neila83
You're right it is frightening. Flaps add drag, OK not much at a takeoff setting but a little. If you retract them without changing power and without increasing climb, speed will increase. It's physics. This plane started descending. You think a plane retracted flaps, started descending and in the process lost around 60 knots (probably more actually, that's based on an average). Also the landing gear actually appear to just start the retraction process, the bogies tilt up which is the first phase, and then it suddenly stops. So that rules out 'pulling the wrong lever'.

So much confirmation bias here. A lot of people settled on flaps being the cause at the start and are now completely blind to all the overwhelming evidence saying it had nothing to do with flaps. I don't blame you, even professionals in critical jobs fall victim to it, see various miscarriages of justice after police got fixated on one suspect and refused to accept all following overwhelming evidence to the contrary. Hopefully air crash investigators are a little more open minded, and not quite as determined to blame the dead guys.
With respect I can\x92t see that the two videos we have available to us as primary evidence are sufficient to draw any conclusions, they certainly don\x92t provide overwhelming evidence of anything other than the aircraft crashed with the inevitable horrendous consequences. Although I stand by my unsubstantiated theory that this was a flap/config issue of some sort, I\x92m only basing this on the scant evidence available publicly and I certainly aren\x92t resting my hat on it. Very much expect that there may be a root cause that nobody expects or there may be many factors at play here that have allowed the holes to match up.

One thing is for certain though and that is that, due to the number of 787 aircraft in service and the ominous nature of the event, we may see preliminary findings released fairly swiftly.

Subjects: Gear Retraction  MLG Tilt

pug
2025-06-13T20:30:00
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Post: 11900873
Originally Posted by go-around flap 15
It's tempting to think that, however one may also have made the case 'why doesn't Boeing install a system that prevents the nose getting too high on the 737 MAX? Then they won't have to retrain crews on handling differences'. We know how that worked out.

When designing anything you need to account for unintended consequences and the possibilities for that system adversely affecting safety if it were to malfunction. If you introduced a system designed to prevent flap retraction 20 to 30s after liftoff, what if failure in a channel of that system then prevents flap retraction required to achieve a MACG with critical terrain on departure. We could 'why don't they do this / why don't they do that' until eventually we end up with not flying at all.

On your point of integrated scales, there is a far easier way to cross check actual aicraft weight with calculated weight: a computer that cross references acceleration data on the takeoff run with known values from lookup tables based on specific environmental conditions and engine thrust settings. If you're not accelerating at a normal rate expected for the calculated thrust and weight a warning can be triggered. This was a recommendation echoed by the AAIB following the incident with a Jet2 aircraft getting airborne at only 70% thrust. I believe Airbus and Boeing are looking into the potential implementation of such a safety system.
This I believe is an option to retrofit. Can\x92t recall the supplier, Honeywell perhaps, not sure on the 737-MAX and whether it has anything fitted as standard.. Anyway the more cost effective option (for NG operators) is to amend SOPs where appropriate. However the U.K. CAA do apparently intend on creating a working group regarding such events. See also the TUI event at BRS.

https://asn.flightsafety.org/wikibase/388602

https://simpleflying.com/aaib-report...f-runway-10ft/

It\x92s worth noting that the acceleration rate was exceptionally low in the TUI event based on the average for that airport. I refer you to my initial post on this thread, it\x92s a risk that there is no config warning horn (to my knowledge) on the B737-800 that will alert the crew, upon selection of TOGA, that the performance solution entered into the FMC does not agree with the actual config. In the case of flap setting, it will only alert if a non standard take-off flap setting is selected. If in the unlikely event TOGA is not pressed at all then\x85..

Airbus have added something of an FWC to their 321NEO aircraft that will alert crew to this - something I\x92d heard from bus mates but wasn\x92t 100% certain on so thanks to those on here that confirmed.

Sorry for further thread derailment, however felt it might be of interest. 787 rated crew on this thread suggest this would form part of the electronic checklist on the aircraft so in the case of the event at hand a red herring.


Last edited by pug; 13th Jun 2025 at 21:29 .

Subjects: AAIB (All)  Flap Retraction  Flap Setting  Flaps (All)  TOGA

1 user liked this post.

pug
2025-06-13T21:38:00
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Post: 11900935
Originally Posted by neila83
Well for one, because the plane lost 60+ knots during the event. It's very easy to calculate the average speed of the plane from takeoff to impact and it is far below takeoff speed. Once you have done that calculation, it becomes a lot clearer. Then ask yourself if retracting the flaps is likely to result in losing 60 knots while descending at takeoff thrust. If the videos can't convince you, maybe physics can.
Out of interest, are you using ground speed or airspeed?

Even if airspeed increased in the event that flap was inadvertently retracted, the critical angle of attack would decrease. To counteract this, unless airspeed increased (I.e with sufficient thrust perhaps, like in a windshear escape manoeuvre) relevant to the pitch attitude, the only way to generate sufficient lift would be to create enough airflow over the wings, or more simply in this scenario to lower the nose, but this doesn\x92t appear to have occurred in this event*

Or am I missing something?

*accepting the poor evidence available to us, there is no evidence of flap retraction leading to this event. Having since seen Magplug assessment I\x92m tending towards that theory in the absence of official findings.

Last edited by pug; 13th Jun 2025 at 22:53 .

Subjects: Flap Retraction  Flaps (All)