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B2N2
July 13, 2025, 07:00:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921069 |
A no blame culture? How likely would it be that an inadvertent small mistake was made in response to a major distraction, immediately recognized then heroically attempted to be corrected? Because that\x92s likely how the final report will read. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
Musician
July 13, 2025, 07:18:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921078 |
The Action Slip scenario
What is an action slip?
There's a possible scenario we're discussing here that fits all of the available evidence. It proposes that one of the pilots operated the switches in an unconscious action called an "action slip". This is a rote action that we do without conscious thought when we're distracted: we mean to do something, and then we get our signals crossed and do something else. To learn more, search for "action slip" or "cerebellum" on this thread; I hope paulross adds the keyword to the next build of his excellent index at https://paulross.github.io/pprune-th...171/index.html . How would this scenario play out? We don't have enough evidence to pin down the exact sequence, so there are some assumptions here that I hope you find plausible. (And obviously it's not the only scenario that fits the evidence.) We especially do not know who did what and why, so that is all guesswork on my part. The times are taken from the preliminary report. The report places the verbal exchange among the pilots where I put it. ——— 8:08:39 The 787 becomes airborne. The F/O is pilot flying (PF), with both hands on the yoke. The Captain is PNF (not flying). 8:08:42 The PNF unconsciously flips both fuel switches to CUT OFF, one after the other. This is a rote action performed after each flight, or as training captain in the simulator. The action cuts power to the engines; they stop delivering thrust almost immediately, and the turbines start slowing down. The 787 systems disconnect the electrical generators in advance of them failing. The right side The PF feels the cessation of thrust. He looks at the display to see an ENGINES SHUT OFF message. He assumes the PNF shut them off, and asks him why he shut them off. This is the lowest "probe" level on the PACE assertiveness scale; see e.g. https://psychsafety.com/pace-graded-assertiveness/ or search for "probe alert" on pprune if you wish to know more. The highest level of assertiveness, E for "emergency", would have the F/O put the switches back himself immediately, but that would have required a high degree of confidence in the face of the older Captain that may have been difficult to achieve. Since the action was unconscious, the PNF replies that he did not do that. 8:08:47 The RAT starts delivering hydraulic power, the engines decelerate past idle. The PNF realizes that engine power is in fact cut. Eventually he checks the switches he thinks he did not touch, sees the engine 1 switch first and flips it back to RUN at 8:08:52. He then thinks to check the second switch and flips it up at 8:08:56. The accident sequence ensues. There's really not much the PNF can do at this point. At 8:09:05, he transmits a MAYDAY. ——— Obviously there are variations to this, for example it could have been the PF who put the fuel switches back. (In the above scenario, the PF is focused on flying—aviate!—and never turns his head to see the switches.) My goal was simply to set out a possible sequence, to see whether it feels plausible. Remember, as you see other scenarios put forth, that any issues a person could wrestle with would also be distracting. While both pilots would be very focused during the takeoff run, the moment the aircraft lifted off, the PNF could well have mentally relaxed a little, opening an opportunity for the action slip. Thoughts? Edit: I got the roles mixed up; in a fixed scenario, either the Captain was the PF (and may have set the switches to cutoff), or flight control changed over at the power failure. Last edited by Musician; 13th July 2025 at 08:03 . 5 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
Speed_Trim_Fail
July 13, 2025, 07:36:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921087 |
What is an action slip?
There's a possible scenario we're discussing here that fits all of the available evidence. It proposes that one of the pilots operated the switches in an unconscious action called an "action slip". This is a rote action that we do without conscious thought when we're distracted: we mean to do something, and then we get our signals crossed and do something else. To learn more, search for "action slip" or "cerebellum" on this thread; I hope paulross adds the keyword to the next build of his excellent index at https://paulross.github.io/pprune-th...171/index.html . How would this scenario play out? We don't have enough evidence to pin down the exact sequence, so there are some assumptions here that I hope you find plausible. (And obviously it's not the only scenario that fits the evidence.) We especially do not know who did what and why, so that is all guesswork on my part. The times are taken from the preliminary report. The report places the verbal exchange among the pilots where I put it. \x97\x97\x97 8:08:39 The 787 becomes airborne. The F/O is pilot flying (PF), with both hands on the yoke. The Captain is PNF (not flying). 8:08:42 The PNF unconsciously flicks both fuel switches to CUT OFF, one after the other. This is a rote action performed after each flight, or as training captain in the simulator. The action cuts power to the engines; they stop delivering thrust almost immediately, and the turbines start slowing down. The 787 systems disconnect the electrical generators in advance of them failing. The right side (Captain's side) of the cockpit loses power to most instruments. With all 4 generators offline, the RAT deploys to provide emergency power. The PF feels the cessation of thrust. He looks at the display to see an ENGINES SHUT OFF message. He assumes the PNF shut them off, and asks him why he shut them off. This is the lowest "probe" level on the PACE assertiveness scale; see e.g. https://psychsafety.com/pace-graded-assertiveness/ or search for "probe alert" on pprune if you wish to know more. The highest level of assertiveness, E for "emergency", would have the F/O put the switches back himself immediately, but that would have required a high degree of confidence in the face of the older Captain that may have been difficult to achieve. Since the action was unconscious, the PNF replies that he did not do that. 8:08:47 The RAT starts delivering hydraulic power, the engines decelerate past idle. The PNF realizes that engine power is in fact cut. Eventually he checks the switches he thinks he did not touch, sees the engine 1 switch first and flips it back to RUN at 8:08:52. He then thinks to check the second switch and flips it up at 8:08:56. The accident sequence ensues. There's really not much the PNF can do at this point. At 8:09:05, he transmits a MAYDAY. \x97\x97\x97 Obviously there are variations to this, for example it could have been the PF who put the fuel switches back. (In the above scenario, the PF is focused on flying\x97aviate!\x97and never turns his head to see the switches.) My goal was simply to set out a possible sequence, to see whether it feels plausible. Remember, as you see other scenarios put forth, that any issues a person could wrestle with would also be distracting. While both pilots would be very focused during the takeoff run, the moment the aircraft lifted off, the PNF could well have mentally relaxed a little, opening an opportunity for the action slip. Thoughts? 6 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
CharlieMike
July 13, 2025, 07:41:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921093 |
What is an action slip?
There's a possible scenario we're discussing here that fits all of the available evidence. It proposes that one of the pilots operated the switches in an unconscious action called an "action slip". This is a rote action that we do without conscious thought when we're distracted: we mean to do something, and then we get our signals crossed and do something else. To learn more, search for "action slip" or "cerebellum" on this thread; I hope paulross adds the keyword to the next build of his excellent index at https://paulross.github.io/pprune-th...171/index.html . How would this scenario play out? We don't have enough evidence to pin down the exact sequence, so there are some assumptions here that I hope you find plausible. (And obviously it's not the only scenario that fits the evidence.) We especially do not know who did what and why, so that is all guesswork on my part. The times are taken from the preliminary report. The report places the verbal exchange among the pilots where I put it. ——— 8:08:39 The 787 becomes airborne. The F/O is pilot flying (PF), with both hands on the yoke. The Captain is PNF (not flying). 8:08:42 The PNF unconsciously flicks both fuel switches to CUT OFF, one after the other. This is a rote action performed after each flight, or as training captain in the simulator. The action cuts power to the engines; they stop delivering thrust almost immediately, and the turbines start slowing down. The 787 systems disconnect the electrical generators in advance of them failing. The right side (Captain's side) of the cockpit loses power to most instruments. With all 4 generators offline, the RAT deploys to provide emergency power. The PF feels the cessation of thrust. He looks at the display to see an ENGINES SHUT OFF message. He assumes the PNF shut them off, and asks him why he shut them off. This is the lowest "probe" level on the PACE assertiveness scale; see e.g. https://psychsafety.com/pace-graded-assertiveness/ or search for "probe alert" on pprune if you wish to know more. The highest level of assertiveness, E for "emergency", would have the F/O put the switches back himself immediately, but that would have required a high degree of confidence in the face of the older Captain that may have been difficult to achieve. Since the action was unconscious, the PNF replies that he did not do that. 8:08:47 The RAT starts delivering hydraulic power, the engines decelerate past idle. The PNF realizes that engine power is in fact cut. Eventually he checks the switches he thinks he did not touch, sees the engine 1 switch first and flips it back to RUN at 8:08:52. He then thinks to check the second switch and flips it up at 8:08:56. The accident sequence ensues. There's really not much the PNF can do at this point. At 8:09:05, he transmits a MAYDAY. ——— Obviously there are variations to this, for example it could have been the PF who put the fuel switches back. (In the above scenario, the PF is focused on flying—aviate!—and never turns his head to see the switches.) My goal was simply to set out a possible sequence, to see whether it feels plausible. Remember, as you see other scenarios put forth, that any issues a person could wrestle with would also be distracting. While both pilots would be very focused during the takeoff run, the moment the aircraft lifted off, the PNF could well have mentally relaxed a little, opening an opportunity for the action slip. Thoughts? Seeing that the gear remained down after liftoff, there was CVR confusion after the event, and there was an attempt to rectify the situation…. I’m now thinking aviation is witnessing its most bizarre action-slip it’s ever seen and we’ll learn that the human automatic system is capable of making the most inappropriate and illogical responses to a given situation. I suspect fatigue and the captains sim experience of flicking switches plays a part. As a result of this, I think we’ll see a renewed interest in slowing down actions at all times…touch a control, look at it, pause, consciously think about what you are touching before you execute it. This needs to be habitual, especially on LH fleets where fatigue inevitably plays into the operation. We’ll also be discouraging the “insta-pilot” trend of showing how slick you are (usually on A320) where your hands flick round the flight deck at lightning speed. Even in more benign scenarios like shutdown flows etc, this isn’t a good habit. 6 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
CharlieMike
July 13, 2025, 08:08:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921110 |
A statement that completely underestimates the human subconscious system. You need a deliberate movement to raise the gear or drop the flaps too…I’d say nearly every operator has instances of pilots accidentally doing one instead of the other. There will be people saying that there is no way you can have such an extreme action slip but I don’t think we should ever underestimate the power of the human to do the most random things, even if it is one-in-a-million event.
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ManaAdaSystem
July 13, 2025, 08:16:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921117 |
A statement that completely underestimates the human subconscious system. You need a deliberate movement to raise the gear or drop the flaps too\x85I\x92d say nearly every operator has instances of pilots accidentally doing one instead of the other. There will be people saying that there is no way you can have such an extreme action slip but I don\x92t think we should ever underestimate the power of the human to do the most random things, even if it is one-in-a-million event.
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enderman
July 13, 2025, 08:16:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921118 |
Action slip seems highly unlikely to me. Even if one cutoff switch was moved in response to a gear up request I can\x92t believe anyone would then move a second switch, one second later.
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CharlieMike
July 13, 2025, 08:21:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921123 |
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adfad
July 13, 2025, 11:13:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921238 |
I\x92d counter that order of likelihood by suggesting
(1) It\x92s still a likely response to ask that question if your colleague had just switched them off by action-slip. (2) See my post above. Routine use of these switches is in one \x93event\x94\x85below OAT 40C you start both simultaneously and at shutdown you operate one straight after another. (3) The interim report seems to leave out all information on verbal exchanges not specifically involved with a response to the abnormal situation. Not saying you aren\x92t correct, but it doesn\x92t change the order of likelihood in my mind. By precedent in routine operations I mean: is there a single example of these switches being cut off at takeoff like this? There is precedent for the wrong engine being shut down in a fire sure, and there is perhaps precedent for mishaps with the fuel switches in other cockpit layouts - but in the case of this layout, with this model of switch or even this 'style' of switch and placement, I cannot find a single example that would come close to the level of catastrophic action slip of pulling out and setting to cutoff both switches one by one. I think the preliminary report is supposed to present all factual information - they could have left out "why did you cutoff / I did not" - I could understand if they left out sounds that could be ambiguous, perhaps indicating a struggle but not clear enough to present as fact. However, "positive rate / gear up" followed by 2 switches instead of gear handle is completely factual and relevant information, to exclude it makes no sense. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
paulross
July 13, 2025, 11:27:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921247 |
AI171 Thread by Subject
I have rebuilt the site that organises this thread by subject here:
https://paulross.github.io/pprune-th...171/index.html
It studies 3703 posts (and discards 1043 of them). Changes: - Add subjects: "Action slip", "AvHerald", "Human Factors", 'Pilot "Why did you cut off"'. - Build threads up to July 13, 2025, 10:57:00 (built on July 13, 2025, 12:02:17). Project is here: https://github.com/paulross/pprune-threads Raise issues here https://github.com/paulross/pprune-threads/issues or PM me. 4 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
CharlieMike
July 13, 2025, 11:28:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921248 |
(1) is true I give you that, but there is no followup "I didn't.. oh crap", denial is a reasonable response if you truly haven't registered doing something, but it is also a reasonable response if you want to confuse to delay
By precedent in routine operations I mean: is there a single example of these switches being cut off at takeoff like this? There is precedent for the wrong engine being shut down in a fire sure, and there is perhaps precedent for mishaps with the fuel switches in other cockpit layouts - but in the case of this layout, with this model of switch or even this 'style' of switch and placement, I cannot find a single example that would come close to the level of catastrophic action slip of pulling out and setting to cutoff both switches one by one. I think the preliminary report is supposed to present all factual information - they could have left out "why did you cutoff / I did not" - I could understand if they left out sounds that could be ambiguous, perhaps indicating a struggle but not clear enough to present as fact. However, "positive rate / gear up" followed by 2 switches instead of gear handle is completely factual and relevant information, to exclude it makes no sense. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
etrang
July 13, 2025, 12:54:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921301 |
Suggesting it was a pilot "brain fart" is also purely speculation, but that speculation is welcomed.
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Feathers McGraw
July 13, 2025, 17:39:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921476 |
Everything is recoverable given the right set of circumstances.
Given a different set of circumstances at some point the situation is unrecoverable and you become “dead man walking”. Stalls, spins, unusual attitude recovery, MCAS events, they all become unrecoverable below a certain altitude. If I had to take a guess I would say 2500-3000’ AGL and this could have been recoverable. It's this narrow window of opportunity which is making the deliberate suicide theory appear more attractive, but in reality the accidental "action-slip" or "brain fart" theory is at least as strong given that something, like a positive rate call, could have triggered the wrong action even if each switch was operated sequentially. 2 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
nrunning24
July 13, 2025, 18:47:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921526 |
Former Boeing Engineer on the 787 (prob should put this in my profile at some point but newbie on the forum), but personally flown nothing bigger than a 172.
Longer I think about this the more I lean towards purposeful but not intentional action slip cutoffs by the captain. Some people have commented on sim training captains doing this to reset quicker (i wouldn't know). We know FO was flying and initial cut offs are 1 then 2, which to me says CAPT did it. But also relights were 1 then 2 which tells me CAPT also did that one most likely. Also comments around 10 seconds of delay being a long time, that's REALLY fast in my opinion especially considering, 1. this is a situation that is never trained for and 2. All sorts of lights changing, displays flickering, whole right side of the cockpit basically turning off and 3. Your really close to the ground and transitions (from takeoff to climb) lend themselves hard things to break your mind out of. That has to be a very jarring experience that needs likely a few seconds just to re-orient themselves. I'm honestly impressed they got them re-lit that fast, but assuming training with engine out and re-start procedures likely gave them a hint fuel switches from the EICAS messages. Very confident Boeing FlightOps engineers and training captains have run through this in the sim quite a few times now. 3 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
Semreh
July 13, 2025, 20:42:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921631 |
Action slips - further information
Non-pilot here.
For those interested in reading more about 'action slips', including performing one routine function in place of another, the following free-access article goes into more detail: Wiley Online Library: Oops! I Did it Again: The Psychology of Everyday Action Slips
Type of slip: Habit intrusion/'double capture slip'
Analysis: Incorrect motor schema is activated during a task due to failure of sustained focal attention to the task in working memory Example: Going to the kitchen sink to wash a dish but finding yourself washing one's hands instead Alternatively, given that the PM was used to operating simulators, what conditions could have prompted him to do a sequence that was familiar to him of resetting the simulator (including operating the FCS switches), doing things that are inadvisable in a real aircraft? If these are stupid questions, I apologise for taking up a mod's time processing the comment deletion. 4 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
andihce
July 13, 2025, 20:45:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921635 |
Sorry to reply twice, but's worth noting that Samaritans responders (Befrienders in the US?) are trained to ask if the caller has considered a means of killing themselves. If they have, they move right up to a red alert. Sometimes the question is the first time the person recognises that they do in fact have a plan ready to go.
I know such cases have happened (or may have happened, as in MH370), and perhaps cannot be excluded here with what we know at present, but I for one would be far more inclined to suspect something along the lines of the various "brain fart" possibilities that have been mentioned, absent further data. 8 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
galaxy flyer
July 13, 2025, 20:53:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921645 |
Non-pilot here.
For those interested in reading more about 'action slips', including performing one routine function in place of another, the following free-access article goes into more detail: Wiley Online Library: Oops! I Did it Again: The Psychology of Everyday Action Slips As other people have perspicaciously pointed out, assuming that it was the Pilot Monitoring that transitioned the Fuel Cut-Off Switches from RUN to CUTOFF, what action would they likely have been attempting to perform at that stage of the flight for an action slip to be a likely possibility? Alternatively, given that the PM was used to operating simulators, what conditions could have prompted him to do a sequence that was familiar to him of resetting the simulator (including operating the FCS switches), doing things that are inadvisable in a real aircraft? If these are stupid questions, I apologise for taking up a mod's time processing the comment deletion. I\x92m inclined to give equal wait to intentional shutting down the engines (suicide, if you will) and \x93action-slip\x94. Three seconds after WOW and calling for \x93gear up\x94 is quick but not hugely so. We don\x92t have the transcript, we don\x92t know if the voices were associated with which pilots. It\x92s entirely possible, there was \x93positive rate\x94, \x93gear up\x94 exchange followed by the movement of the switches by the PM, followed by \x93why did you cut off\x94 by the PF who is soon without a PFD. As to timing, in high stress situations, the mind can run like a computer slowing time or just the opposite, time speeds up and seconds go by trying to comprehend the situation. I was in an ejection, I could spends 15 minutes describing what happened in 500 milliseconds. 8 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
AirScotia
July 13, 2025, 21:26:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921676 |
Meaning no disrespect to pilots (indeed, quite the opposite), and admittedly I'm no psychologist, but it strikes me that to postulate that a pilot might cause the crash of a large aircraft because of suicidal thoughts is to
seriously understate the action taken
, because such action also means the likely death of all passengers and aircrew, presumably all or most of whom are perceived as innocent bystanders by the actor. Whatever term you want to apply to that action, it is far more and far worse than individual suicide, and I would think it needs a pretty substantial and convincing body of evidence, including psychological evidence, to explain.
I know such cases have happened (or may have happened, as in MH370), and perhaps cannot be excluded here with what we know at present, but I for one would be far more inclined to suspect something along the lines of the various "brain fart" possibilities that have been mentioned, absent further data. 6 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
unworry
July 13, 2025, 22:56:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921755 |
He had suffered from depression for a couple of years since the death of his wife in a car accident. She was the light of his life. I noted recently he had stopped flying recreationally and raised this with him - suggesting a trip may go some way to lift his mood But when I said we should head away for the weekend and fly up to see friends, he got awful quiet and withdrawn -- then confided that on his last flight, with his grandchildren onboard , he felt such a heightened sense of hopelessness that he was overcome by a compelling urge to end it all. Fortunately he fought off these dark thoughts, but describes it as an almost insurmountable internal struggle - and only fortunate that he was on final and a minute out. Thankfully he is now receiving excellent care and has voluntarily grounded himself We speak often and openly about the incident - and this overwhelming sense of "just want out" is precisely how he expressed it. Edit to add: Personally, I'm still hoping for an inexplicable action slip, but recognise there's two suggestions on the table Last edited by unworry; 13th July 2025 at 23:02 . Reason: my view 10 users liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |
Dynamite1
July 14, 2025, 07:29:00 GMT permalink Post: 11921918 |
Bunk-Rest
Firstly, the PIC was a line training captain and not a simulator instructor\x85so no action slip due to that!
Secondly, stop supposing a third person on deck when the crew composition is clear\x97 and desist from imagining ridiculous possibilities.. \x94 Unauthorised possibly, knowing air India\x85.\x94 maybe this happens in your deck or bunk-rest! Last edited by Dynamite1; 14th July 2025 at 07:33 . Reason: Missed addressing the poster 1 user liked this post. Reply to this quoting this original post. You need to be logged in. Not available on closed threads. |